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Süper Lig
Referee: B Şimşek
Sivasspor
T S S U T
4–1
Full-time
Trabzonspor
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Trabzonspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 38%
29%
46%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

57% Possession 43%
18 Shots 4
10 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sivasspor 13. · Trabzonspor 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 28 22 3 3 +44 69
2 Fenerbahce 28 20 3 5 +36 63
3 Besiktas 29 17 8 4 +27 59
4 Ad. Demirspor 29 15 9 5 +27 54
5 Trabzonspor 28 13 6 9 +7 45
6 Buyuksehyr 28 13 6 9 +7 45
7 Kayserispor 29 14 3 12 +0 45
8 Karagumruk 28 10 10 8 +9 40
9 Konyaspor 29 9 12 8 +4 39
10 Antalyaspor 28 9 6 13 -6 33
11 Kasimpasa 29 9 6 14 -13 33
12 Alanyaspor 29 8 8 13 -13 32
13 Sivasspor 28 8 7 13 -5 31
14 Ankaragücü 28 9 4 15 -9 31
15 İstanbulspor 28 8 4 16 -22 28
16 Giresunspor 28 6 9 13 -22 27
17 Ümraniyespor 29 6 8 15 -11 26
18 Gaziantep 29 6 7 16 -20 25
19 Hatayspor 28 6 5 17 -40 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sivasspor Trabzonspor
11′
L. Marković 0–1
Y. Yazıcı
22′
🟥 Jens Stryger Larsen
1–1 Samuel Sáiz
27′
29′
🔁 S. Denswil
↦ Y. Yazıcı
2–1 E. Yeşilyurt
M. Gradel
37′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 M. Hamšík
↦ M. Gómez
Ziya Erdal 🟨
49′
3–1 Samuel Sáiz
C. Charisis
58′
64′
🔁 U. Bozok
↦ D. Haspolat
64′
🔁 N. Ünüvar
↦ L. Marković
F. Ulvestad 🔁
↦ H. Arslan
72′
75′
🟨 Stefano Denswil
79′
🔁 M. Lahtimi
↦ E. Bardhi
I. Cofie 🔁
↦ Samuel Sáiz
85′
C. N'Jie 🔁
↦ E. Yeşilyurt
85′
J. Caicedo 🔁
↦ M. Yatabaré
89′
R. Yalçın 🔁
↦ C. Charisis
89′
4–1 J. Caicedo
F. Ulvestad
93′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Sivasspor

4-1-4-1
35 A. Vural G
2 M. Paluli D
4 A. Appindangoyé D
6 D. Goutas D
58 Z. Erdal D
37 H. Arslan M
17 E. Yeşilyurt M
15 C. Charisis M
24 Samuel Sáiz M
7 M. Gradel M
9 M. Yatabaré F
Bench (10)
23 F. Ulvestad
5 I. Cofie
10 C. N'Jie
30 J. Caicedo
8 R. Yalçın
25 M. Yıldırım
26 A. Musa
14 S. Camara
21 E. Gökay
96 M. Albayrak

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Trabzonspor

4-1-4-1
1 U. Çakır G
19 J. Stryger Larsen D
4 H. Türkmen D
3 Marc Bartra D
18 E. Elmalı D
6 E. Siopis M
50 L. Marković M
34 D. Haspolat M
61 Y. Yazıcı M
29 E. Bardhi M
30 M. Gómez F
Bench (9)
24 S. Denswil
17 M. Hamšík
9 U. Bozok
23 N. Ünüvar
80 M. Lahtimi
98 K. Moradaoğlu
22 T. Altıkardeş
72 A. Boşluk
54 T. Tepe

Coach: N. Bjelica

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,73
U
3,26
B
2,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Şimşek · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.