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Süper Lig

Referee: T Doman

Sivasspor

S S T U T

2–3

Full-time

Galatasaray

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Galatasaray

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 14/13 matches

Win Ø 61%

36%

85%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

64%

85%

Both score Ø 63%

57%

69%

Average goals

2,9

3,7

Scored

1,3

2,7

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,72 xG 2,43

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 7

3 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 8

5 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sivasspor 10. · Galatasaray 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	11	2	0	+22	+14.2	35
2	Fenerbahce	14	10	2	2	+23	+17.1	32
3	Samsunspor	15	9	2	4	+12	+8.6	29
4	Eyüpspor	15	7	5	3	+9	-2.4	26
5	Besiktas	14	7	4	3	+8	+6.8	25
6	Goztep	14	7	3	4	+7	+4.5	24
7	Buyuksehyr	13	5	4	4	+3	+2.2	19
8	Konyaspor	15	5	4	6	-5	-3.4	19
9	Rizespor	13	6	1	6	-5	+0.8	19
10	Sivasspor	14	5	3	6	-4	-10.3	18
11	Antalyaspor	14	5	3	6	-8	-8.8	18
12	Trabzonspor	14	3	7	4	+2	+0.4	16
13	Kasimpasa	14	3	7	4	-3	+0.1	16
14	Gaziantep	13	4	3	6	-2	-2.8	15
15	Kayserispor	14	3	6	5	-10	-6.6	15
16	Alanyaspor	14	3	5	6	-6	-0.3	14
17	Bodrumspor	14	3	2	9	-11	-6.9	11
18	Hatayspor	13	1	5	7	-8	-5.3	8
19	Ad. Demirspor	14	0	2	12	-24	-7.9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	6	2	0	+11	+12.1	20
2	Goztep	7	6	1	0	+11	+4.3	19
3	Eyüpspor	7	5	1	1	+9	+1.6	16
4	Fenerbahce	6	5	0	1	+10	+8.9	15
5	Besiktas	7	5	0	2	+4	+4.9	15
6	Samsunspor	8	4	2	2	+6	+6.2	14
7	Antalyaspor	7	4	1	2	-1	-2.7	13
8	Buyuksehyr	6	3	3	0	+8	+3.2	12
9	Trabzonspor	7	3	3	1	+6	+2.6	12
10	Gaziantep	6	3	2	1	+5	+0.5	11
11	Sivasspor	7	3	2	2	+1	-3.8	11
12	Konyaspor	7	2	4	1	+1	+1.2	10
13	Rizespor	7	3	1	3	-1	+1.5	10
14	Alanyaspor	7	2	3	2	+0	+1.2	9
15	Bodrumspor	7	2	1	4	+0	-2.0	7
16	Hatayspor	7	1	3	3	-3	-1.6	6
17	Kayserispor	7	1	3	3	-6	-2.7	6
18	Kasimpasa	7	0	3	4	-7	+0.1	3
19	Ad. Demirspor	7	0	0	7	-13	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	5	2	1	+13	+8.2	17
2	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+11	+2.0	15
3	Samsunspor	7	5	0	2	+6	+2.4	15
4	Kasimpasa	7	3	4	0	+4	-0.0	13
5	Besiktas	7	2	4	1	+4	+1.9	10
6	Eyüpspor	8	2	4	2	+0	-3.9	10
7	Kayserispor	7	2	3	2	-4	-4.0	9
8	Rizespor	6	3	0	3	-4	-0.6	9
9	Konyaspor	8	3	0	5	-6	-4.6	9
10	Sivasspor	7	2	1	4	-5	-6.4	7
11	Buyuksehyr	7	2	1	4	-5	-1.0	7
12	Goztep	7	1	2	4	-4	+0.2	5
13	Alanyaspor	7	1	2	4	-6	-1.5	5
14	Antalyaspor	7	1	2	4	-7	-6.0	5
15	Trabzonspor	7	0	4	3	-4	-2.2	4
16	Gaziantep	7	1	1	5	-7	-3.3	4
17	Bodrumspor	7	1	1	5	-11	-5.0	4
18	Hatayspor	6	0	2	4	-5	-3.6	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	7	0	2	5	-11	-6.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.