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Super League
Referee: V Fotias
AEK
S T S T S
4–1
Full-time
Ionikos
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Ionikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
This season — Super League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 30%
20%
40%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,6
0,4
Conceded
0,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

65% Possession 35%
27 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 8. · Ionikos 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 6 6 0 0 +9 18
2 Volos NFC 7 4 2 1 +6 14
3 Panetolikos 7 4 1 2 +5 13
4 PAOK 7 3 3 1 +2 12
5 Olympiakos 7 3 2 2 +4 11
6 Aris Thessalonikis 6 3 1 2 +2 10
7 Aris 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 AEK 5 3 0 2 +5 9
9 Atromitos 6 2 2 2 +2 8
10 Asteras Tripolis 7 1 4 2 -2 7
11 Lamia 6 1 3 2 -3 6
12 OFI Crete 6 1 1 4 -6 4
13 Giannina 6 1 1 4 -9 4
14 Levadeiakos 7 0 2 5 -9 2
15 Ionikos 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Ionikos
1–0 M. Gaćinović
6′
2–0 L. Garcia
N. Eliasson
26′
42′
🟨 Nikos Ioannidis
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 B. Fadiga
↦ R. Chibsah
3–0 S. Araújo
62′
4–0 M. Gaćinović
N. Eliasson
65′
67′
🔁 F. Milo
↦ F. Antunes
67′
🔁 V. Mantzis
↦ N. Ioannidis
67′
🔁 C. Eleftheriadis
↦ R. Ofosu
S. Zuber 🔁
↦ L. Garcia
70′
P. Mantalos 🔁
↦ O. Pineda
70′
N. Amrabat 🔁
↦ N. Eliasson
70′
K. Galanopoulos 🔁
↦ M. Gaćinović
82′
M. Kosidis 🔁
↦ S. Araújo
87′
87′
🔁 E. Šakić
↦ K. Tsirigotis
93′
C. Eleftheriadis 4–1
V. Mantzis
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

AEK

4-3-1-2
1 C. Stanković G
12 L. Rota D
2 H. Moukoudi D
21 D. Vida D
3 M. Mohammadi D
8 M. Gaćinović M
4 D. Szymański M
19 N. Eliasson M
13 O. Pineda M
11 S. Araújo F
7 L. Garcia F
Bench (9)
10 S. Zuber
20 P. Mantalos
5 N. Amrabat
25 K. Galanopoulos
35 M. Kosidis
30 G. Athanasiadis
24 G. Mitoglou
14 A. Fransson
29 D. Sidibé

Coach: M. Almeyda

Ionikos

3-5-2
94 L. Choutesiotis G
4 K. Tsirigotis D
24 A. Romao D
6 F. Antunes D
22 G. Migas M
5 R. Chibsah M
34 M. Lovera M
87 Cañas M
15 G. Valerianos M
7 R. Ofosu F
9 N. Ioannidis F
Bench (9)
75 B. Fadiga
25 F. Milo
99 V. Mantzis
91 C. Eleftheriadis
66 E. Šakić
1 A. Përlleshi
8 Z. Machach
10 J. Mendoza
92 Sebá

Coach: D. Spanos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,19
U
6,26
B
13,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,22
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

V Fotias · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.