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Allsvenskan
Referee: K Karlsson
Goteborg
S S S T T
1–3
Full-time
Elfsborg
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Allsvenskan · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 42%
48%
35%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
39%
52%
Both score Ø 50%
39%
61%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goteborg 7. · Elfsborg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Djurgarden 24 14 6 4 +27 48
2 Hacken 24 13 9 2 +22 48
3 Hammarby 24 12 7 5 +23 43
4 Malmo FF 24 12 5 7 +10 41
5 Kalmar 24 12 5 7 +9 41
6 AIK 24 11 8 5 +8 41
7 Goteborg 23 11 3 9 +7 36
8 Elfsborg 23 8 9 6 +12 33
9 Mjallby 24 8 9 7 -1 33
10 Varnamo 24 8 7 9 -9 31
11 Norrkoping 24 7 7 10 -1 28
12 Sirius 24 7 5 12 -13 26
13 Varberg 24 6 7 11 -16 25
14 Degerfors 24 5 6 13 -20 21
15 Helsingborg 24 4 5 15 -18 17
16 Sundsvall 24 3 2 19 -40 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goteborg Elfsborg
1–0 G. Svensson
M. Berg
9′
22′
M. Baidoo 1–1
A. Bernhardsson
Marcus Berg 🟨
24′
Hosam Aiesh 🟨
24′
24′
🟨 Sebastian Holmén
35′
A. Bernhardsson 1–2
P. Frick
Half-time 1–2
S. Eriksson 🔁
↦ Hosam Aiesh
46′
Marcus Berg 🟨
70′
Marcus Berg 🟥
70′
78′
🔁 J. Ondrejka
↦ R. Alm
78′
🔁 E. Boateng
↦ M. Baidoo
E. Marković 🔁
↦ S. Thern
84′
E. Sorga 🔁
↦ G. Norlin
85′
85′
🔁 J. Okkels
↦ A. Bernhardsson
Carl Johansson 🟨
90′
Sebastian Eriksson 🟨
91′
91′
🔁 S. Guðjohnsen
↦ P. Frick
98′
N. Söderberg 1–3
J. Okkels
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Goteborg

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
17 O. Wendt D
2 E. Salomonsson D
4 C. Johansson D
20 J. Bångsbo M
13 G. Svensson D
21 S. Thern M
8 Hosam Aiesh F
14 G. Norlin F
19 H. Carneil M
9 M. Berg F
Bench (7)
7 S. Eriksson
6 E. Marković
11 E. Sorga
99 P. Dahlberg
24 A. Salaou
27 H. Ghasem
30 M. Bjärsmyr

Coach: M. Stahre

Elfsborg

4-3-3
30 H. Valdimarsson G
24 J. Larsson D
8 S. Holmén M
20 S. Strand D
15 L. Väisänen D
6 A. Rømer M
13 M. Baidoo D
28 N. Söderberg M
17 P. Frick F
21 R. Alm F
12 A. Bernhardsson F
Bench (7)
7 J. Ondrejka
26 E. Boateng
19 J. Okkels
11 S. Guðjohnsen
31 T. Rönning
5 M. Jarjué
23 N. Hult

Coach: J. Thelin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Karlsson · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.