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Super League

Referee: C Vergetis

AEK

U S S T S

4–1

Full-time

Panetolikos

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panetolikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,7

This season — Super League · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 52%

72%

32%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

39%

37%

Both score Ø 32%

22%

42%

Average goals

2,3

2,4

Scored

1,9

1,1

Conceded

0,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

69% Possession 31%

25 Shots 3

10 Shots on target 1

10 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 2. · Panetolikos 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	18	14	3	1	+21	45
2	AEK	18	13	2	3	+27	41
3	PAOK	20	11	7	2	+16	40
4	Olympiakos	18	10	5	3	+20	35
5	Volos NFC	18	8	5	5	-4	29
6	Aris Thessalonikis	17	8	4	5	+12	28
7	Aris	17	8	4	5	+12	28
8	Atromitos	19	6	6	7	+0	24
9	Panetolikos	19	6	4	9	-3	22
10	OFI Crete	19	3	8	8	-8	17
11	Asteras Tripolis	19	3	8	8	-13	17
12	Giannina	18	4	5	9	-17	17
13	Levadeiakos	19	2	6	11	-15	12
14	Lamia	19	1	8	10	-28	11
15	Ionikos	18	1	5	12	-20	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	10	8	2	0	+11	26
2	PAOK	10	7	2	1	+9	23
3	AEK	8	7	0	1	+14	21
4	Aris Thessalonikis	9	6	2	1	+12	20
5	Aris	9	6	2	1	+12	20
6	Olympiakos	8	5	2	1	+12	17
7	Atromitos	10	4	5	1	+5	17
8	Volos NFC	10	5	1	4	-5	16
9	Asteras Tripolis	9	3	4	2	+2	13
10	Giannina	9	3	3	3	-8	12
11	Levadeiakos	10	2	4	4	-4	10
12	Panetolikos	10	3	1	6	-6	10
13	Lamia	9	1	4	4	-9	7
14	OFI Crete	9	1	3	5	-6	6
15	Ionikos	8	0	5	3	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	10	6	2	2	+13	20
2	Panathinaikos	8	6	1	1	+10	19
3	Olympiakos	10	5	3	2	+8	18
4	PAOK	10	4	5	1	+7	17
5	Volos NFC	8	3	4	1	+1	13
6	Panetolikos	9	3	3	3	+3	12
7	OFI Crete	10	2	5	3	-2	11
8	Aris Thessalonikis	8	2	2	4	+0	8
9	Aris	8	2	2	4	+0	8
10	Atromitos	9	2	1	6	-5	7
11	Giannina	9	1	2	6	-9	5
12	Asteras Tripolis	10	0	4	6	-15	4
13	Lamia	10	0	4	6	-19	4
14	Ionikos	10	1	0	9	-12	3
15	Levadeiakos	9	0	2	7	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.