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Super League
Referee: V Fotias
Giannina
T T T U U
2–1
Full-time
AEK
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Giannina AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
2,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+2,0
This season — Super League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
13%
75%
Points per game
0,7
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
69%
38%
Both score Ø 41%
63%
19%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
0,9
2,0
Conceded
2,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

24% Possession 76%
5 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Giannina 13. · AEK 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 17 14 3 0 +22 45
2 AEK 16 12 2 2 +27 38
3 PAOK 16 8 6 2 +11 30
4 Olympiakos 16 8 5 3 +14 29
5 Volos NFC 17 8 5 4 +0 29
6 Aris Thessalonikis 15 7 4 4 +10 25
7 Aris 15 7 4 4 +10 25
8 Atromitos 16 5 5 6 +0 20
9 Panetolikos 17 5 4 8 -1 19
10 Asteras Tripolis 16 2 8 6 -10 14
11 OFI Crete 17 2 7 8 -12 13
12 Levadeiakos 18 2 6 10 -13 12
13 Giannina 16 2 5 9 -20 11
14 Lamia 16 1 7 8 -22 10
15 Ionikos 16 1 5 10 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Sep -22 AEK – Giannina 2–0 11. May -22 AEK – Giannina 3–0 18. Apr -22 Giannina – AEK 2–3 20. Feb -22 AEK – Giannina 2–0 27. Nov -21 Giannina – AEK 1–2

Match report

Giannina AEK
1–0 D. Rienstra ⚽
S. Pilios
9′
2–0 C. Bălan ⚽
Carles Soria
32′
Half-time 2–1
51′
⚽ S. Araújo 2–1
O. Pineda
65′
🔁 T. van Weert
↦ Paolo Fernandes
A. Liasos 🔁
↦ D. Rienstra
68′
73′
🔁 S. Zuber
↦ O. Pineda
Giorgos Pamlidis 🟨
77′
P. Tzimas 🔁
↦ G. Pamlidis
79′
A. Stamatelopoulos 🔁
↦ A. Mendes Moreira
89′
90′
🟨 Nordin Amrabat
Rodrigo Erramuspe 🟨
91′
Panagiotis Tsintotas 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Giannina

4-3-3
16 P. Tsintotas G
2 Carles Soria D
4 E. Pantelakis D
15 R. Erramuspe D
3 S. Pilios D
23 D. Rienstra M
5 Z. Karachalios M
28 F. Gino M
14 G. Pamlidis F
91 C. Bălan F
7 A. Mendes Moreira F
Bench (9)
80 A. Liasos
21 P. Tzimas
88 A. Stamatelopoulos
20 N. Lolis
64 V. Soulis
18 M. Fofana
12 L. Poznański
10 S. Ninis
22 A. Tsavos

Coach: T. Staikos

AEK

4-1-3-2
30 G. Athanasiadis G
29 D. Sidibé D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
28 E. Hajisafi D
6 J. Jønsson M
22 Paolo Fernandes M
13 O. Pineda M
5 N. Amrabat M
7 L. Garcia F
11 S. Araújo F
Bench (9)
9 T. van Weert
10 S. Zuber
35 M. Kosidis
37 V. Radonja
24 G. Mitoglou
31 G. Tzavellas
1 C. Stanković
80 G. Moustakopoulos
25 K. Galanopoulos

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
9,91
🔒
U
4,69
🔒
B
1,32
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,93
🔒
U2,5
1,84
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

V Fotias · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.