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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kooij
2–2
Full-time
Utrecht
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,8
This season — Eredivisie · 15/14 matches
Win Ø 35%
27%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
40%
57%
Both score Ø 59%
60%
57%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 10. · Utrecht 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 15 10 4 1 +22 34
2 AZ Alkmaar 16 10 3 3 +11 33
3 Ajax 16 9 5 2 +27 32
4 PSV Eindhoven 15 10 1 4 +22 31
5 Twente 14 9 3 2 +18 30
6 Sparta Rotterdam 14 8 3 3 +12 27
7 Utrecht 14 6 4 4 +0 22
8 Heerenveen 15 5 6 4 +0 21
9 Nijmegen 16 3 10 3 +3 19
10 Go Ahead Eagles 15 4 6 5 -1 18
11 Waalwijk 16 4 6 6 -4 18
12 Excelsior 16 5 1 10 -21 16
13 For Sittard 15 4 3 8 -9 15
14 Vitesse 16 3 6 7 -13 15
15 Groningen 15 3 3 9 -13 12
16 Volendam 16 3 3 10 -22 12
17 FC Emmen 15 2 5 8 -16 11
18 Cambuur 15 2 2 11 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Utrecht
3′
W. Willumsson 1–0
own goal
2–0 B. Adekanye
10′
13′
S. van de Streek 2–1
20′
🔁 L. Brouwers
↦ J. Toornstra
Willum Thor Willumsson 🟨
26′
Tesfaldet Tekie 🟨
31′
Half-time 2–1
Jamal Amofa 🟨
56′
F. Mattiello 🔁
↦ T. Tekie
67′
S. Sow 🔁
↦ G. Nauber
67′
67′
🔁 O. Boussaid
↦ A. Younes
R. Fernandes 🔁
↦ B. Adekanye
74′
84′
🔁 H. ter Avest
↦ S. van de Streek
F. Stokkers 🔁
↦ E. Llansana
85′
85′
🔁 T. Douvikas
↦ T. Booth
88′
🟨 Sean Klaiber
3–1 S. Sow
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-2-2
1 J. de Lange G
25 J. Amofa D
3 G. Nauber D
6 J. Idzes D
2 M. Deijl D
15 T. Tekie M
21 E. Llansana M
18 W. Willumsson M
23 O. Edvardsen M
11 B. Adekanye F
9 I. Lidberg F
Bench (12)
33 F. Mattiello
19 S. Sow
7 R. Fernandes
27 F. Stokkers
8 E. Linthorst
4 José Fontán
17 M. Berden
24 J. Markelo
26 J. Bakker
22 E. Mulder
40 L. Plogmann
20 X. Blomme

Coach: R. Hake

Utrecht

4-3-3
1 V. Barkas G
17 S. Klaiber D
33 M. van der Hoorn D
27 M. Sagnan D
2 M. van der Maarel D
6 C. Bozdoğan M
18 J. Toornstra M
22 S. van de Streek M
10 T. Booth F
28 B. Dost F
14 A. Younes F
Bench (12)
8 L. Brouwers
26 O. Boussaid
5 H. ter Avest
9 T. Douvikas
7 D. Redan
31 T. Nijhuis
24 N. Viergever
15 D. van der Kust
25 R. Kluivert
32 C. Raatsie
30 N. Maeda
37 D. Sanches Fernandes

Coach: M. Silberbauer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,79
U ✓
3,54
B
2,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,15
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kooij · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.