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Süper Lig
Referee: A Palabıyık
Ümraniyespor
U T S U S
0–2
Full-time
İstanbulspor
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ümraniyespor İstanbulspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 18%
18%
18%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 62%
65%
59%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

70% Possession 30%
27 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ümraniyespor 18. · İstanbulspor 19. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 18 13 3 2 +23 42
2 Fenerbahce 17 11 2 4 +22 35
3 Buyuksehyr 18 10 4 4 +8 34
4 Ad. Demirspor 18 9 6 3 +17 33
5 Besiktas 17 9 5 3 +11 32
6 Trabzonspor 18 9 5 4 +1 32
7 Konyaspor 18 6 9 3 +6 27
8 Kayserispor 18 8 2 8 +3 26
9 Alanyaspor 18 6 6 6 -1 24
10 Karagumruk 17 5 5 7 +1 20
11 Giresunspor 18 5 5 8 -10 20
12 Gaziantep 17 4 7 6 -1 19
13 Ankaragücü 18 5 4 9 -6 19
14 Antalyaspor 17 5 3 9 -7 18
15 Kasimpasa 17 5 3 9 -11 18
16 Hatayspor 18 4 5 9 -18 17
17 Sivasspor 18 3 6 9 -9 15
18 Ümraniyespor 17 3 5 9 -9 14
19 İstanbulspor 17 3 3 11 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ümraniyespor İstanbulspor
5′
🟨 Emeka Eze
12′
🟨 Jetmir Topalli
Mehmet Umut Nayir ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
21′
28′
🟨 Eduart Rroca
30′
⚽ V. Ethemi 0–1
J. Topalli
Kartal Kayra Yılmaz 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
D. Avounou 🔁
↦ A. Mršić
46′
Y. Del Valle 🔁
↦ O. Ayık
46′
O. Özdemir 🔁
↦ S. Kırıntılı
46′
46′
🔁 A. Yaşar
↦ D. Aksu
Strahil Popov 🟨
49′
49′
⚽ M. Kabasakal 0–2
V. Ethemi
A. Bettaieb 🔁
↦ S. Popov
61′
78′
🔁 M. Ologo
↦ E. Gültekin
78′
🔁 M. Ba
↦ J. Topalli
V. Gheorghe 🔁
↦ Geraldo
82′
84′
🟨 David Jensen
94′
🔁 O. Berber
↦ V. Ethemi
96′
🔁 K. Bağış
↦ E. Rroca
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Ümraniyespor

4-3-3
1 S. Kırıntılı G
90 S. Popov D
5 I. Sackey D
44 T. Glumac D
16 O. Atasayar D
8 S. Göksu M
41 K. Yılmaz M
39 A. Mršić M
29 Geraldo F
18 U. Nayir F
11 O. Ayık F
Bench (10)
14 D. Avounou
28 Y. Del Valle
13 O. Özdemir
27 A. Bettaieb
7 V. Gheorghe
23 F. Şanlitürk
3 E. Lenjani
2 M. Yılmaz
6 Y. Mertoğlu
4 M. Eser

Coach: R. Uçar

İstanbulspor

4-2-3-1
1 D. Jensen G
21 D. Duhaney D
23 O. Erdoğan D
4 M. Yeşil D
3 D. Aksu D
10 E. Rroca M
57 M. Kabasakal M
19 E. Gültekin M
98 J. Topalli M
27 V. Ethemi M
90 E. Eze F
Bench (9)
66 A. Yaşar
50 M. Ologo
12 M. Ba
77 K. Bağış
13 O. Berber
11 A. Čajič
59 A. Arda
18 V. Temel
88 A. Mehremić

Coach: F. Tekke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,94
U
3,73
B ✓
3,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,14
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

A Palabıyık · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,46 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.