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Super League
Referee: A Tzilos
1–0
Full-time
Panathinaikos
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,3
This season — Super League · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 45%
14%
75%
Points per game
0,9
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
33%
25%
Both score Ø 27%
24%
30%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
6 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 16
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 12. · Panathinaikos 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 22 17 2 3 +37 53
2 Panathinaikos 20 15 3 2 +19 48
3 PAOK 22 13 7 2 +20 46
4 Olympiakos 22 13 6 3 +23 45
5 Volos NFC 22 9 5 8 -10 32
6 Aris Thessalonikis 20 9 4 7 +11 31
7 Aris 20 9 4 7 +11 31
8 Atromitos 21 6 8 7 +0 26
9 Panetolikos 22 7 5 10 -5 26
10 OFI Crete 21 4 8 9 -8 20
11 Giannina 21 4 7 10 -18 19
12 Asteras Tripolis 21 3 9 9 -14 18
13 Levadeiakos 22 2 8 12 -16 14
14 Lamia 21 1 9 11 -30 12
15 Ionikos 21 2 5 14 -20 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis Panathinaikos
27′
🟨 Dimitrios Kourbelis
33′
🟨 Dimitrios Kourbelis
33′
🟥 Dimitrios Kourbelis
Half-time 0–0
Michael Gardawski 🟨
49′
Jerónimo Barrales 🟨
52′
F. Bertoglio 🔁
↦ M. Gardawski
55′
67′
🔁 F. Ioannidis
↦ A. Šporar
68′
🔁 D. Mancini
↦ Bernard
J. Bartolo 🔁
↦ Dani Santafé
72′
Julián Bartolo 🟨
74′
74′
🔁 E. Çokaj
↦ A. Čerin
Sito 🟨
76′
80′
🔁 Juan Carlos
↦ T. Puchacz
80′
🔁 L. Kleinheisler
↦ S. Palacios
1–0 J. Bartolo
80′
Facundo Bertoglio 🟨
92′
O. Adefunyibomi 🔁
↦ Xesc Regis
92′
Rubén García 🔁
↦ Sito
92′
Walter Iglesias 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
12 David Carmona D
18 Pichu Atienza D
19 Pepe Castaño D
29 F. Álvarez D
14 Dani Santafé M
17 M. Iglesias M
25 M. Gardawski M
11 Xesc Regis M
40 Sito M
9 J. Barrales F
Bench (9)
20 F. Bertoglio
73 J. Bartolo
69 O. Adefunyibomi
2 Rubén García
22 Asier Benito
97 G. Kosteas
3 C. Tasoulis
23 Adrián Riera
99 A. Tsiftsis

Coach: I. Metaxas

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
91 A. Brignoli G
2 G. Vagiannidis D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
31 Z. Šarlija D
6 T. Puchacz D
21 D. Kourbelis M
4 Rubén Pérez M
16 A. Čerin M
34 S. Palacios F
9 A. Šporar F
10 Bernard F
Bench (9)
7 F. Ioannidis
17 D. Mancini
18 E. Çokaj
3 Juan Carlos
8 L. Kleinheisler
12 Y. Lodygin
44 A. Poungouras
27 G. Kotsiras
14 F. Sánchez

Coach: I. Jovanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,92
U
3,24
B
1,79
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,58
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Tzilos · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.