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Super League
Referee: A Tzilos
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,0
This season — Super League · 16/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
44%
17%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
38%
33%
Both score Ø 30%
31%
28%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 7. · Asteras Tripolis 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 17 14 3 0 +22 45
2 PAOK 19 11 6 2 +16 39
3 AEK 17 12 2 3 +26 38
4 Olympiakos 18 10 5 3 +20 35
5 Volos NFC 18 8 5 5 -4 29
6 Aris 17 8 4 5 +12 28
7 Aris Thessalonikis 16 7 4 5 +9 25
8 Atromitos 18 6 5 7 +0 23
9 Panetolikos 18 6 4 8 +1 22
10 Asteras Tripolis 18 3 8 7 -10 17
11 Giannina 18 4 5 9 -17 17
12 OFI Crete 17 2 7 8 -12 13
13 Levadeiakos 19 2 6 11 -15 12
14 Lamia 18 1 7 10 -28 10
15 Ionikos 18 1 5 12 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Asteras Tripolis
1–0 Manu García
19′
2–0 Fabiano
V. Darida
32′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Gardawski
↦ F. Bertoglio
B. Dabo 🔁
↦ Manu García
66′
Rafael Camacho 🔁
↦ A. Gray
70′
75′
🔁 Adrián Riera
↦ Sito
J. Iturbe 🔁
↦ V. Darida
77′
87′
🔁 G. Kosteas
↦ J. Munafo
87′
🔁 Eneko Capilla
↦ Xesc Regis
3–0 Rafael Camacho
D. Mancini
89′
93′
🟨 Walter Iglesias
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-4-1-1
23 Julián G
22 M. Odubajo D
4 Fabiano D
14 J. Brabec D
18 B. Mazikou D
10 M. García M
16 V. Darida M
13 O. Etebo M
7 D. Mancini M
19 Manu García F
9 A. Gray F
Bench (9)
6 B. Dabo
64 Rafael Camacho
11 J. Iturbe
17 L. Palma
43 M. Peersman
99 M. Siampanis
15 E. Rodríguez
8 C. Doukouré
2 S. M'Bakata

Coach: A. Pardew

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
12 David Carmona D
19 Pepe Castaño D
87 E. Zukanović D
29 F. Álvarez D
17 M. Iglesias M
8 J. Munafo M
11 Xesc Regis M
20 F. Bertoglio M
40 Sito M
7 Léo Tilica F
Bench (9)
25 M. Gardawski
23 Adrián Riera
97 G. Kosteas
10 Eneko Capilla
3 C. Tasoulis
18 Pichu Atienza
14 Dani Santafé
99 A. Tsiftsis
42 G. Antzoulas

Coach: I. Metaxas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Tzilos · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.