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Super League

Referee: I Papadopoulos

Panathinaikos

S S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,3

Scored

1,8

0,5

Conceded

0,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

This season — Super League · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 57%

100%

14%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

50%

14%

Both score Ø 31%

33%

29%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

0,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

19 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Panathinaikos 1. · Asteras Tripolis 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	6	6	0	0	+9	18
2	Volos NFC	8	5	2	1	+7	17
3	Olympiakos	8	4	2	2	+5	14
4	Panetolikos	8	4	1	3	+4	13
5	PAOK	8	3	4	1	+2	13
6	AEK	6	4	0	2	+8	12
7	Aris Thessalonikis	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Aris	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Atromitos	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Asteras Tripolis	7	1	4	2	-2	7
11	Lamia	7	1	4	2	-3	7
12	OFI Crete	7	1	1	5	-7	4
13	Giannina	6	1	1	4	-9	4
14	Levadeiakos	8	0	3	5	-9	3
15	Ionikos	7	0	2	5	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Olympiakos	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Volos NFC	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	PAOK	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Aris Thessalonikis	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Aris	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	AEK	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Panetolikos	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Atromitos	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Giannina	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Asteras Tripolis	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Lamia	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Levadeiakos	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Ionikos	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	OFI Crete	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panetolikos	4	2	1	1	+3	7
2	Volos NFC	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	AEK	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Panathinaikos	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	PAOK	4	0	4	0	+0	4
6	Olympiakos	4	1	1	2	-1	4
7	Atromitos	3	1	0	2	+0	3
8	Asteras Tripolis	3	0	3	0	+0	3
9	Lamia	4	0	3	1	-1	3
10	Aris Thessalonikis	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Aris	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	OFI Crete	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Levadeiakos	6	0	1	5	-9	1
14	Giannina	3	0	0	3	-7	0
15	Ionikos	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.