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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Malec
Cracovia
T U S S T
2–0
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 35%
41%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
12%
71%
Both score Ø 42%
18%
65%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
16 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 9
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 9. · Gornik Zabrze 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 18 13 3 2 +23 42
2 Legia 18 10 5 3 +6 35
3 Widzew Lodz 18 9 3 6 +5 30
4 Pogon Szczecin 18 8 6 4 +4 30
5 Lech Poznan 17 8 5 4 +5 29
6 Wisla Plock 18 8 4 6 +4 28
7 Stal Mielec 18 8 4 6 +3 28
8 Warta Poznan 18 7 5 6 +2 26
9 Cracovia 17 7 4 6 +6 25
10 Radomiak Radom 18 7 3 8 -2 24
11 Slask Wroclaw 18 5 6 7 -8 21
12 Gornik Zabrze 17 5 5 7 -2 20
13 Lechia Gdansk 18 6 2 10 -11 20
14 Zaglebie 18 5 5 8 -11 20
15 Jagiellonia 18 4 7 7 -1 19
16 Piast Gliwice 18 4 5 9 -4 17
17 Legnica 17 3 4 10 -9 13
18 Korona Kielce 18 3 4 11 -10 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Gornik Zabrze
9′
🟨 Erik Janža
1–0 V. Ghiță ⚽
J. Atanasov
17′
21′
🟨 Jakub Szymanski
David Jablonsky 🟨
34′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 D. Jablonský ⚽
K. Knap
53′
60′
🔁 S. Włodarczyk
↦ J. Szymański
O. Kakabadze 🔁
↦ M. Rakoczy
73′
P. Makuch 🔁
↦ Y. Konoplyanka
73′
78′
🔁 N. Zielonka
↦ P. Krawczyk
Paweł Jaroszyński 🟨
79′
86′
🔁 M. Cholewiak
↦ P. Olkowski
M. Sipľak 🔁
↦ P. Jaroszyński
87′
J. Myszor 🔁
↦ B. Källman
87′
K. Jodłowski 🔁
↦ J. Atanasov
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-4-2-1
23 K. Niemczycki G
24 J. Jugas D
85 D. Jablonský D
5 V. Ghiță D
2 C. Râpă M
20 K. Knap M
6 J. Atanasov M
4 P. Jaroszyński M
11 M. Rakoczy F
10 Y. Konoplyanka F
9 B. Källman F
Bench (9)
25 O. Kakabadze
71 P. Makuch
3 M. Sipľak
38 J. Myszor
36 K. Jodłowski
17 M. Bochnak
22 A. Hoskonen
21 K. Śmiglewski
31 L. Hroššo

Coach: J. Zieliński

Gornik Zabrze

3-5-2
1 D. Bielica G
5 K. Szcześniak D
13 E. Bergström D
77 J. Szymański D
16 P. Olkowski M
15 N. Wojtuszek M
23 J. Jules M
33 K. Okunuki M
64 E. Janža M
10 Ł. Podolski F
21 P. Krawczyk F
Bench (8)
20 S. Włodarczyk
30 N. Zielonka
11 M. Cholewiak
17 R. Kamber
8 B. Vrhovec
31 P. Sokół
29 k. Capiga
24 K. Kolanko

Coach: B. Gaul

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

P Malec · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.