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Super League
Referee: A Evangelou
1–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Athens Kallithea Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
2,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
0%
60%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
53%
60%
Both score Ø 54%
60%
47%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
2 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Athens Kallithea 15. · Olympiakos 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 16 10 3 3 +19 33
2 Olympiakos 15 9 3 3 +15 30
3 PAOK 16 9 3 4 +11 30
4 Panathinaikos 16 8 6 2 +6 30
5 Aris Thessalonikis 15 8 3 4 +4 27
6 Aris 15 8 3 4 +4 27
7 Panetolikos 16 7 4 5 +4 25
8 Atromitos 17 5 5 7 -1 20
9 OFI Crete 16 5 5 6 -5 20
10 Volos NFC 16 6 2 8 -9 20
11 Asteras Tripolis 16 4 5 7 -2 17
12 Panserraikos 17 5 1 11 -11 16
13 Levadeiakos 16 2 7 7 -9 13
14 Lamia 16 1 6 9 -13 9
15 Athens Kallithea 15 0 8 7 -13 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Athens Kallithea Olympiakos
Half-time 0–0
Josua Mejías 🟨
59′
Thierry Moutinho 🔁
↦ G. Loukinas
63′
63′
🔁 C. Kostoulas
↦ Costinha
69′
C. Kostoulas 0–1
S. Diba 🔁
↦ M. Valbuena
74′
A. Mercati 🔁
↦ G. Manthatis
74′
75′
🔁 S. Hezze
↦ Sérgio Oliveira
76′
🔁 R. Yaremchuk
↦ A. El Kaabi
R. Uldriķis 🔁
↦ M. Ndiaye
80′
E. Giani 🔁
↦ Demethryus
81′
82′
🟨 Gelson Martins
86′
🟨 Santiago Hezze
86′
🔁 P. Retsos
↦ A. Apostolopoulos
86′
🔁 G. Masouras
↦ K. Velde
1–1 E. Giani
Javier Matilla
92′
Elia Giani 🟨
93′
95′
🟨 Rodinei
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Athens Kallithea

4-2-3-1
13 Bernabé Barragán G
14 G. Manthatis D
2 J. Mejías D
37 I. Tsivelekidis D
11 N. Kainourgios D
8 Javier Matilla M
17 M. Ndiaye M
23 P. Soiri M
28 M. Valbuena M
10 Demethryus M
25 G. Loukinas F
Bench (9)
27 Thierry Moutinho
30 S. Diba
26 A. Mercati
9 R. Uldriķis
18 E. Giani
5 M. Hanousek
19 N. Marotta
24 I. Gelios
7 A. Vasilogiannis

Coach: A. Prionas

Olympiakos

4-4-2
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
5 L. Pirola D
16 David Carmo D
65 A. Apostolopoulos D
23 Rodinei M
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
14 Dani García M
11 K. Velde M
10 Gelson Martins F
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (9)
84 C. Kostoulas
32 S. Hezze
17 R. Yaremchuk
45 P. Retsos
19 G. Masouras
1 A. Paschalakis
74 A. Ntoi
4 G. Biancone
8 M. Stamenić

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,63
U ✓
4,87
B
1,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Evangelou · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.