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Super League
Referee: A Tzilos
PAOK
S T T S S
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Athens Kallithea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
54%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 58%
62%
54%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,6
0,7
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
17 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 3. · Athens Kallithea 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 14 8 3 3 +17 27
2 Olympiakos 14 8 3 3 +12 27
3 PAOK 13 7 2 4 +7 23
4 Panathinaikos 13 6 5 2 +4 23
5 Panetolikos 14 6 4 4 +4 22
6 Aris Thessalonikis 13 6 3 4 +2 21
7 Aris 13 6 3 4 +2 21
8 OFI Crete 14 5 4 5 -4 19
9 Atromitos 13 5 3 5 +1 18
10 Asteras Tripolis 14 4 5 5 +0 17
11 Volos NFC 14 5 2 7 -7 17
12 Panserraikos 14 5 1 8 -6 16
13 Levadeiakos 14 1 7 6 -10 10
14 Lamia 14 1 6 7 -11 9
15 Athens Kallithea 13 0 7 6 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Athens Kallithea
1–0 G. Konstantelias
21′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Javier Matilla
Omar Colley 🟨
51′
Kiril Despodov ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
53′
55′
🟨 Triantafyllos Pasalidis
59′
G. Loukinas 1–1
M. Valbuena
T. Tissoudali 🔁
↦ F. Chalov
64′
Taison 🔁
↦ T. Murg
64′
67′
🔁 G. Manthatis
↦ T. Pasalidis
67′
🔁 N. Marotta
↦ M. Hanousek
68′
🔁 E. Giani
↦ G. Loukinas
71′
🟨 Nicolás Marotta
Jonny 🔁
↦ Joan Sastre
77′
79′
🟨 Demethryus
81′
🟨 Pyry Soiri
2–1 K. Despodov
82′
86′
🔁 N. Kainourgios
↦ P. Soiri
86′
🔁 R. Uldriķis
↦ Demethryus
91′
N. Isimat-Mirin 2–2
M. Valbuena
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
23 Joan Sastre D
16 T. Kędziora D
15 O. Colley D
21 A. Baba D
27 M. Ozdoev M
22 S. Schwab M
77 K. Despodov M
10 T. Murg M
7 G. Konstantelias M
9 F. Chalov F
Bench (9)
34 T. Tissoudali
11 Taison
19 Jonny
70 M. Samatta
5 G. Michailidis
6 D. Lovren
1 J. Pavlenka
25 K. Thymianis
47 S. Shoretire

Coach: R. Lucescu

Athens Kallithea

5-3-2
13 Bernabé Barragán G
23 P. Soiri D
58 T. Pasalidis D
77 N. Isimat-Mirin D
17 M. Ndiaye D
5 M. Hanousek D
30 S. Diba M
8 Javier Matilla M
10 Demethryus M
28 M. Valbuena F
25 G. Loukinas F
Bench (9)
14 G. Manthatis
19 N. Marotta
18 E. Giani
11 N. Kainourgios
9 R. Uldriķis
24 I. Gelios
37 I. Tsivelekidis
26 A. Mercati
7 A. Vasilogiannis

Coach: M. Donati

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,25
U ✓
5,80
B
10,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,21
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Tzilos · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.