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Super League

Referee: H Osmers

Olympiakos

S T S U S

4–1

Full-time

AEK

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 12/11 matches

Win Ø 53%

50%

55%

Points per game

1,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

58%

27%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

18%

Average goals

2,4

1,8

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,9

0,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 0

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Olympiakos 4. · AEK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	13	7	2	4	+7	23
2	Panathinaikos	13	6	5	2	+4	23
3	AEK	11	6	3	2	+12	21
4	Olympiakos	12	6	3	3	+7	21
5	Aris Thessalonikis	12	6	3	3	+6	21
6	Aris	12	6	3	3	+6	21
7	Panetolikos	13	6	3	4	+4	21
8	OFI Crete	13	5	4	4	-2	19
9	Asteras Tripolis	13	4	5	4	+1	17
10	Volos NFC	13	5	1	7	-7	16
11	Atromitos	12	4	3	5	+0	15
12	Panserraikos	13	4	1	8	-7	13
13	Levadeiakos	12	1	6	5	-9	9
14	Lamia	13	1	5	7	-11	8
15	Athens Kallithea	13	0	7	6	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	6	4	2	0	+10	14
2	Aris Thessalonikis	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Aris	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Panetolikos	8	4	1	3	+3	13
5	Panathinaikos	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	Olympiakos	5	3	2	0	+4	11
7	OFI Crete	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Asteras Tripolis	6	2	1	3	+1	7
9	PAOK	7	2	1	4	-1	7
10	Levadeiakos	6	1	3	2	-4	6
11	Atromitos	7	1	2	4	-3	5
12	Panserraikos	6	1	1	4	-3	4
13	Lamia	6	0	3	3	-5	3
14	Athens Kallithea	6	0	3	3	-6	3
15	Volos NFC	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Volos NFC	7	5	0	2	+2	15
3	Panathinaikos	6	3	2	1	+1	11
4	OFI Crete	7	3	2	2	-2	11
5	Olympiakos	7	3	1	3	+3	10
6	Atromitos	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Asteras Tripolis	7	2	4	1	+0	10
8	Panserraikos	7	3	0	4	-4	9
9	Panetolikos	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Aris Thessalonikis	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Aris	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	AEK	5	2	1	2	+2	7
13	Lamia	7	1	2	4	-6	5
14	Athens Kallithea	7	0	4	3	-5	4
15	Levadeiakos	6	0	3	3	-5	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.