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Super League
Referee: A Evangelou
Olympiakos
T S U S S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Athens Kallithea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
2,2
0,0
Scored
1,5
0,0
Conceded
0,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
0,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 6. · Athens Kallithea 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 AEK 2 1 1 0 +3 4
3 Aris Thessalonikis 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Aris 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Lamia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Olympiakos 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Atromitos 3 0 3 0 +0 3
8 Asteras Tripolis 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Panathinaikos 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Volos NFC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Athens Kallithea 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Levadeiakos 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 OFI Crete 2 0 1 1 -3 1
14 Panserraikos 3 0 0 3 -3 0
15 Panetolikos 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos Athens Kallithea
1–0 K. Velde
F. Ortega
14′
31′
🟨 Alessandro Mercati
40′
🔁 Demethryus
↦ J. Mejías
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Diba
↦ A. Mercati
M. Stamenić 🔁
↦ S. Hezze
49′
60′
R. Uldriķis 1–1
A. Moțoc
R. Yaremchuk 🔁
↦ Chiquinho
69′
Dani García 🔁
↦ G. Biancone
69′
G. Masouras 🔁
↦ K. Velde
69′
75′
🔁 M. Hanousek
↦ P. Soiri
2–1 R. Yaremchuk
A. El Kaabi
77′
Marko Stamenić ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
79′
84′
🔁 G. Loukinas
↦ Thierry Moutinho
84′
🔁 A. Vasilogiannis
↦ Javier Matilla
Marko Stamenić 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Andrei Moțoc
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
4 G. Biancone D
5 L. Pirola D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
74 A. Ntoi M
10 Gelson Martins M
22 Chiquinho M
11 K. Velde M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (8)
8 M. Stamenić
17 R. Yaremchuk
14 Dani García
19 G. Masouras
20 Costinha
99 A. Anagnostopoulos
1 A. Paschalakis
65 A. Apostolopoulos

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Athens Kallithea

5-3-2
13 Bernabé Barragán G
14 G. Manthatis D
2 J. Mejías D
77 N. Isimat-Mirin D
58 T. Pasalidis D
23 P. Soiri D
26 A. Mercati M
8 Javier Matilla M
6 A. Moțoc M
9 R. Uldriķis F
27 Thierry Moutinho F
Bench (9)
10 Demethryus
30 S. Diba
5 M. Hanousek
25 G. Loukinas
7 A. Vasilogiannis
22 G. Moustakopoulos
37 I. Tsivelekidis
24 I. Gelios
55 W. Matyjewicz

Coach: M. Donati

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,10
U
8,90
B
20,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,48
U2,5
2,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Evangelou · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.