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Premiership
Referee: B Madden
Hearts
T T U T T
0–2
Full-time
Celtic
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
2,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+2,3
This season — Premiership · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 50%
12%
88%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
47%
56%
Both score Ø 43%
47%
38%
Average goals
2,6
3,6
Scored
0,9
3,0
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 11. · Celtic 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 16 14 1 1 +39 43
2 Rangers 16 13 2 1 +37 41
3 Aberdeen 18 9 5 4 +4 32
4 Motherwell 18 10 1 7 +5 31
5 Kilmarnock 18 6 5 7 -4 23
6 Hibernian 18 5 7 6 -4 22
7 Ross County 17 5 5 7 -15 20
8 Livingston 18 4 7 7 -4 19
9 St Mirren 18 4 3 11 -12 15
10 ST Johnstone 16 3 6 7 -19 15
11 Hearts 17 2 6 9 -12 12
12 Hamilton 18 2 6 10 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Aug -19 Celtic – Hearts 3–1

Match report

Hearts Celtic
17′
🟨 Scott Brown
28′
⚽ R. Christie 0–1
J. Forrest
Steven MacLean 🟨
30′
S. Clare 🔁
↦ J. Brandon
32′
40′
⚽ O. Ntcham 0–2
J. Forrest
Loïc Damour 🟨
42′
42′
🟨 Kristoffer Ajer
Half-time 0–2
G. Whelan 🔁
↦ O. Bozanić
46′
E. Henderson 🔁
↦ J. Mulraney
61′
Michael Smith 🟨
63′
Craig Halkett 🟨
78′
83′
🔁 N. Bitton
↦ J. Forrest
84′
🔁 L. Griffiths
↦ O. Édouard
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Hearts

4-3-3
23 Joel Castro G
6 C. Berra D
2 M. Smith D
26 C. Halkett D
25 J. Brandon M
51 A. Hickey D
7 O. Bozanić M
22 L. Damour M
11 J. Mulraney M
18 S. MacLean F
15 C. Wighton F
Bench (7)
8 S. Clare
12 G. Whelan
41 E. Henderson
35 A. Keena
77 R. Meshino
1 Z. Zlamal
28 C. Dikamona

Coach: D. Stendel

Celtic

4-2-3-1
67 F. Forster G
2 C. Jullien D
35 K. Ajer D
30 J. Frimpong M
8 S. Brown M
15 J. Hayes M
49 J. Forrest M
42 C. McGregor M
21 O. Ntcham M
17 R. Christie M
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (7)
6 N. Bitton
9 L. Griffiths
1 C. Gordon
18 T. Rogić
10 V. Bayo
3 G. Taylor
16 L. Morgan

Coach: N. Lennon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
10,51
🔒
U
5,48
🔒
B ✓
1,27
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,64
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,21
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.