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Premiership

Referee: A Muir

Motherwell

S T T S S

1–0

Full-time

Hearts

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

This season — Premiership · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 35%

56%

13%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

75%

53%

Both score Ø 52%

50%

53%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 2

5 Corners 1

13 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Motherwell 4. · Hearts 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	15	13	1	1	+37	40
2	Rangers	15	12	2	1	+35	38
3	Aberdeen	16	8	5	3	+6	29
4	Motherwell	16	9	1	6	+6	28
5	Kilmarnock	16	6	5	5	+0	23
6	Hibernian	16	4	7	5	-5	19
7	Ross County	16	4	5	7	-16	17
8	Livingston	16	3	6	7	-7	15
9	Hearts	15	2	6	7	-10	12
10	Hamilton	16	2	6	8	-13	12
11	ST Johnstone	15	2	6	7	-20	12
12	St Mirren	16	3	2	11	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	8	8	0	0	+26	24
2	Rangers	7	6	0	1	+21	18
3	Kilmarnock	9	4	4	1	+6	16
4	Motherwell	8	5	0	3	+4	15
5	Aberdeen	8	4	3	1	+4	15
6	Hibernian	8	2	5	1	+2	11
7	St Mirren	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Ross County	8	3	1	4	-7	10
9	Livingston	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Hamilton	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	ST Johnstone	8	2	2	4	-7	8
12	Hearts	7	1	4	2	+1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	8	6	2	0	+14	20
2	Celtic	7	5	1	1	+11	16
3	Aberdeen	8	4	2	2	+2	14
4	Motherwell	8	4	1	3	+2	13
5	Hibernian	8	2	2	4	-7	8
6	Kilmarnock	7	2	1	4	-6	7
7	Ross County	8	1	4	3	-9	7
8	Livingston	9	1	3	5	-6	6
9	Hearts	8	1	2	5	-11	5
10	Hamilton	8	0	4	4	-10	4
11	ST Johnstone	7	0	4	3	-13	4
12	St Mirren	8	0	0	8	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.