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Premiership
Referee: A Newlands
Hearts
S T T U T
0–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 13%
13%
13%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
53%
Both score Ø 49%
50%
47%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

6 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
12 Corners 7
15 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 10. · ST Johnstone 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 15 13 1 1 +37 40
2 Rangers 15 12 2 1 +35 38
3 Motherwell 17 10 1 6 +7 31
4 Aberdeen 17 8 5 4 +3 29
5 Kilmarnock 17 6 5 6 -3 23
6 Hibernian 17 5 7 5 -2 22
7 Livingston 17 4 6 7 -4 18
8 Ross County 16 4 5 7 -16 17
9 St Mirren 17 4 2 11 -12 14
10 Hearts 16 2 6 8 -11 12
11 Hamilton 17 2 6 9 -14 12
12 ST Johnstone 15 2 6 7 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Oct -19 ST Johnstone – Hearts 1–0

Match report

Hearts ST Johnstone
9′
🟨 Anthony Ralston
25′
🟨 Murray Davidson
Michael Smith 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
R. Meshino 🔁
↦ A. Keena
46′
60′
🔁 C. Hendry
↦ S. May
U. Ikpeazu 🔁
↦ S. Clare
66′
74′
C. Hendry 0–1
M. Kennedy
80′
🔁 L. Craig
↦ J. Holt
L. Damour 🔁
↦ J. Walker
81′
Aaron Hickey 🟨
86′
86′
🔁 D. Wotherspoon
↦ M. Kennedy
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hearts

4-4-2
1 Z. Zlamal G
6 C. Berra D
2 M. Smith D
26 C. Halkett D
51 A. Hickey D
7 O. Bozanić M
12 G. Whelan M
10 J. Walker F
8 S. Clare M
18 S. MacLean F
35 A. Keena F
Bench (7)
77 R. Meshino
19 U. Ikpeazu
22 L. Damour
15 C. Wighton
28 C. Dikamona
25 J. Brandon
23 Joel Castro

Coach: D. Stendel

ST Johnstone

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Clark G
24 C. Booth D
23 L. Gordon D
15 J. Kerr M
21 A. Ralston D
8 M. Davidson M
33 M. Kennedy M
19 J. Holt M
18 A. McCann M
14 S. May F
17 M. O'Halloran F
Bench (7)
22 C. Hendry
26 L. Craig
10 D. Wotherspoon
7 D. Wright
3 S. Tanser
12 E. Parish
2 W. Duffy

Coach: T. Wright

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U
3,42
B ✓
4,00
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.