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Premiership

Referee: G Aitken

Celtic

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 70%

100%

40%

Points per game

3,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

60%

20%

Both score Ø 30%

40%

20%

Average goals

4,2

1,6

Scored

3,6

0,8

Conceded

0,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+0,0

This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 70%

100%

40%

Points per game

3,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

60%

20%

Both score Ø 30%

40%

20%

Average goals

4,2

1,6

Scored

3,6

0,8

Conceded

0,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

21 Shots 6

11 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 4

9 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celtic 1. · Kilmarnock 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Rangers	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	Aberdeen	6	3	2	1	+5	11
4	Motherwell	6	3	1	2	+2	10
5	Ross County	6	3	1	2	-1	10
6	Livingston	6	2	2	2	+0	8
7	Kilmarnock	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Hamilton	6	1	2	3	-4	5
9	St Mirren	6	1	1	4	-3	4
10	Hibernian	5	1	1	3	-9	4
11	ST Johnstone	6	0	3	3	-12	3
12	Hearts	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aberdeen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Rangers	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	Ross County	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Hibernian	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Kilmarnock	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	St Mirren	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Livingston	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Motherwell	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Hamilton	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Hearts	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	ST Johnstone	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Rangers	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Motherwell	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Livingston	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Aberdeen	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Ross County	3	1	1	1	-2	4
7	Kilmarnock	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Hamilton	3	0	2	1	-3	2
9	ST Johnstone	3	0	2	1	-7	2
10	Hearts	2	0	0	2	-3	0
11	St Mirren	3	0	0	3	-3	0
12	Hibernian	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.