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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Kilmarnock
S U U T T
0–1
Full-time
Motherwell
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 45%
33%
56%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
44%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0 Corners 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 5. · Motherwell 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 17 15 1 1 +41 46
2 Rangers 17 14 2 1 +40 44
3 Aberdeen 18 9 5 4 +4 32
4 Motherwell 18 10 1 7 +5 31
5 Kilmarnock 18 6 5 7 -4 23
6 Livingston 19 5 7 7 +0 22
7 Hibernian 19 5 7 7 -7 22
8 Ross County 18 5 5 8 -19 20
9 St Mirren 18 4 3 11 -12 15
10 ST Johnstone 16 3 6 7 -19 15
11 Hearts 18 2 6 10 -14 12
12 Hamilton 18 2 6 10 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kilmarnock Motherwell
36′
🟨 Liam Donnelly
44′
🔁 L. Polworth
↦ L. Donnelly
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 S. Seedorf
↦ J. Hylton
Dario Del Fabro 🟨
59′
67′
J. Carroll 0–1
L. Millar 🔁
↦ M. El Makrini
73′
78′
🟨 Mark Gillespie
80′
🔁 D. Cole
↦ C. Long
82′
🟨 Peter Hartley
D. Thomas 🔁
↦ R. McKenzie
85′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-2-3-1
12 L. Brănescu G
2 S. O'Donnell D
26 D. Del Fabro D
14 N. Hamalainen D
5 C. Johnson D
29 C. Burke M
15 M. El Makrini M
6 A. Power M
8 G. Dicker M
7 R. McKenzie F
9 E. Brophy F
Bench (7)
11 L. Millar
23 D. Thomas
24 J. Koprivec
32 T. Brindley
4 A. Bruce
28 O. Sow
20 I. Wilson

Coach: A. Dyer

Motherwell

4-3-3
20 M. Gillespie G
5 P. Hartley D
31 D. Gallagher D
3 J. Carroll D
22 L. Donnelly D
4 L. Grimshaw M
52 M. O'Hara D
14 J. Hylton F
6 A. Campbell M
9 C. Long F
17 J. Scott M
Bench (7)
19 L. Polworth
11 S. Seedorf
44 D. Cole
1 T. Carson
24 B. Mugabi
25 J. Semple
2 R. Tait

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,47
U
3,22
B ✓
2,84
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.