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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Hibernian
S U S T U
2–2
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
50%
29%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
50%
21%
Both score Ø 33%
36%
29%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 4. · ST Johnstone 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 15 13 2 0 +38 41
2 Celtic 13 9 3 1 +21 30
3 Aberdeen 13 8 2 3 +4 26
4 Hibernian 14 7 4 3 +5 25
5 Dundee United 15 5 5 5 -6 20
6 Kilmarnock 14 5 2 7 +2 17
7 Motherwell 13 4 3 6 -3 15
8 ST Johnstone 14 4 3 7 -6 15
9 Ross County 15 3 4 8 -16 13
10 Livingston 15 3 3 9 -10 12
11 St Mirren 12 3 2 7 -8 11
12 Hamilton 13 2 1 10 -21 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian ST Johnstone
D. McGregor 🔁
↦ P. Hanlon
21′
35′
A. McCann 0–1
S. May
1–1 P. McGinn
K. Nisbet
36′
Half-time 1–1
C. Doidge 🔁
↦ A. Gogić
56′
61′
🔁 D. Wotherspoon
↦ G. Melamed
Darren McGregor 🟨
70′
76′
D. Wotherspoon 1–2
A. McCann
J. Gullan 🔁
↦ K. Nisbet
83′
2–2 P. McGinn
83′
87′
🔁 C. Kane
↦ S. May
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-5-1
1 O. Marciano G
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
13 A. Gogić M
26 S. Mackie D
5 R. Porteous D
10 M. Boyle M
11 J. Newell M
14 S. Mallan M
18 J. Murphy M
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
24 D. McGregor
9 C. Doidge
19 J. Gullan
22 S. McGinn
33 D. Barnes
2 D. Gray
25 J. Doig
20 M. Hallberg
8 D. Wright

Coach: J. Ross

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 Z. Clark G
3 S. Tanser M
19 S. Rooney D
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
15 D. McNamara M
26 L. Craig M
18 A. McCann M
14 S. May F
11 M. O'Halloran F
17 G. Melamed F
Bench (6)
10 D. Wotherspoon
9 C. Kane
46 A. Ferguson
22 C. Hendry
24 C. Booth
12 E. Parish

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,27
U ✓
3,18
B
3,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,38
U2,5
1,57
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.