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Premiership
Referee: B Madden
Hibernian
T S U S T
2–2
Full-time
Celtic
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
This season — Premiership · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 65%
54%
75%
Points per game
1,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
46%
67%
Both score Ø 41%
31%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,6
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%
12 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 12
5 Blocked shots 6
10 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 4. · Celtic 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 14 12 2 0 +34 38
2 Celtic 12 9 2 1 +21 29
3 Aberdeen 12 8 2 2 +8 26
4 Hibernian 13 7 3 3 +5 24
5 Dundee United 14 4 5 5 -7 17
6 Kilmarnock 13 4 2 7 +0 14
7 Motherwell 12 4 2 6 -3 14
8 ST Johnstone 13 4 2 7 -6 14
9 Ross County 14 3 4 7 -14 13
10 Livingston 14 3 3 8 -9 12
11 St Mirren 11 2 2 7 -9 8
12 Hamilton 12 2 1 9 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Celtic
Stephen Mallan 🟨
15′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Murphy ⚽
52′
58′
🔁 O. Édouard
↦ A. Ajeti
2–0 K. Nisbet ⚽
J. Murphy
59′
72′
🔁 S. Duffy
↦ S. Brown
72′
🔁 L. Griffiths
↦ M. Elyounoussi
Martin Boyle 🟨
73′
Paul Hanlon 🟨
79′
79′
⚽ O. Édouard 2–1
D. Gray 🔁
↦ J. Murphy
80′
M. Hallberg 🔁
↦ S. Mallan
84′
87′
🔁 O. Ntcham
↦ T. Rogić
Sean Mackie 🟨
89′
S. McGinn 🔁
↦ J. Newell
89′
91′
⚽ D. Laxalt 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-5-1
1 O. Marciano G
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
13 A. Gogić M
26 S. Mackie D
5 R. Porteous D
10 M. Boyle M
11 J. Newell M
14 S. Mallan M
18 J. Murphy M
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
2 D. Gray
20 M. Hallberg
22 S. McGinn
8 D. Wright
19 J. Gullan
43 S. Bradley
33 D. Barnes
24 D. McGregor
25 J. Doig

Coach: J. Ross

Celtic

4-2-3-1
29 S. Bain G
93 D. Laxalt D
35 K. Ajer D
30 J. Frimpong D
8 S. Brown M
6 N. Bitton D
42 C. McGregor M
27 M. Elyounoussi M
18 T. Rogić M
17 R. Christie M
10 A. Ajeti F
Bench (9)
22 O. Édouard
4 S. Duffy
9 L. Griffiths
21 O. Ntcham
44 H. Elhamed
11 P. Klimala
3 G. Taylor
52 E. Henderson
1 V. Barkas

Coach: N. Lennon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,12
U ✓
4,34
B
1,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,12
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.