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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Hamilton
T S T U T
3–5
Full-time
ST Johnstone
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,7
1,3
Scored
1,2
0,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 21%
22%
20%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
44%
20%
Both score Ø 38%
56%
20%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
0,9
0,4
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 22
4 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamilton 10. · ST Johnstone 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 11 9 2 0 +23 29
2 Celtic 10 8 1 1 +18 25
3 Hibernian 10 6 2 2 +6 20
4 Aberdeen 8 6 0 2 +4 18
5 Kilmarnock 9 3 2 4 +1 11
6 Livingston 10 3 2 5 -3 11
7 Dundee United 10 3 2 5 -8 11
8 Ross County 10 3 2 5 -9 11
9 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 -6 8
10 Hamilton 9 2 1 6 -8 7
11 St Mirren 10 2 1 7 -9 7
12 ST Johnstone 10 2 1 7 -9 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamilton ST Johnstone
1′
S. May 0–1
D. Wotherspoon
14′
D. Wotherspoon 0–2
A. McCann
R. Hughes 🔁
↦ D. Templeton
20′
33′
S. May 0–3
C. Conway
Hakeem Odofin 🟨
37′
1–3 R. Hughes
K. Munro
40′
2–3 M. Ogkmpoe
S. McMann
44′
Half-time 2–3
65′
🔁 C. Bryson
↦ A. McCann
69′
C. Conway 2–4
S. May
C. Smith 🔁
↦ K. Munro
74′
B. Stirling 🔁
↦ L. Hodson
78′
3–4 R. Hughes
79′
80′
🔁 C. Kane
↦ S. May
82′
C. Conway 3–5
83′
🔁 C. Booth
↦ D. Wotherspoon
Full-time 3–5

Line-ups

Hamilton

4-4-2
23 R. Fulton G
27 L. Hodson D
3 S. McMann D
2 H. Odoffin D
12 S. Want D
21 K. Munro M
10 D. Templeton M
34 R. Callachan M
8 S. Martin M
20 D. Moyo F
9 M. Ogkmpoe F
Bench (9)
15 R. Hughes
32 C. Smith
4 B. Stirling
37 J. Johnson
22 K. Gourlay
18 R. Mimnaugh
14 C. Trafford
36 T. Owolabi
7 W. Collar

Coach: B. Rice

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 Z. Clark G
3 S. Tanser M
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
5 J. Kerr D
15 D. McNamara M
7 C. Conway F
8 M. Davidson M
10 D. Wotherspoon F
18 A. McCann M
14 S. May F
Bench (8)
13 C. Bryson
9 C. Kane
24 C. Booth
12 E. Parish
26 L. Craig
19 S. Rooney
22 C. Hendry
11 M. O'Halloran

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,04
U
3,65
B ✓
1,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.