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Premiership

Referee: A Muir

Celtic

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Hearts

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

3,7

1,8

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+3,3

+0,8

This season — Premiership · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 71%

93%

48%

Points per game

2,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

78%

63%

Both score Ø 50%

48%

52%

Average goals

3,9

3,1

Scored

3,2

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

71% Possession 29%

11 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 3

5 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celtic 1. · Hearts 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	27	25	1	1	+68	76
2	Rangers	27	21	4	2	+40	67
3	Hearts	27	13	6	8	+11	45
4	Hibernian	27	12	4	11	+4	40
5	Aberdeen	28	12	2	14	-9	38
6	St Mirren	28	10	7	11	-11	37
7	Livingston	27	10	5	12	-14	35
8	ST Johnstone	28	9	4	15	-15	31
9	Motherwell	28	8	6	14	-6	30
10	Ross County	28	6	6	16	-17	24
11	Kilmarnock	28	6	6	16	-27	24
12	Dundee United	27	5	5	17	-24	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	13	13	0	0	+34	39
2	Rangers	14	12	2	0	+28	38
3	Hearts	14	10	1	3	+14	31
4	Aberdeen	14	9	1	4	+17	28
5	St Mirren	15	8	4	3	+4	28
6	Hibernian	13	7	3	3	+12	24
7	Kilmarnock	13	6	4	3	-1	22
8	Livingston	14	6	3	5	-4	21
9	Ross County	15	4	3	8	-7	15
10	Dundee United	14	4	1	9	-10	13
11	ST Johnstone	13	3	3	7	-5	12
12	Motherwell	13	3	3	7	-6	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	14	12	1	1	+34	37
2	Rangers	13	9	2	2	+12	29
3	ST Johnstone	15	6	1	8	-10	19
4	Motherwell	15	5	3	7	+0	18
5	Hibernian	14	5	1	8	-8	16
6	Hearts	13	3	5	5	-3	14
7	Livingston	13	4	2	7	-10	14
8	Aberdeen	14	3	1	10	-26	10
9	Ross County	13	2	3	8	-10	9
10	St Mirren	13	2	3	8	-15	9
11	Dundee United	13	1	4	8	-14	7
12	Kilmarnock	15	0	2	13	-26	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.