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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Dundee United
U S S T U
0–2
Full-time
Celtic
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,3
3,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,3
This season — Premiership · 21/22 matches
Win Ø 58%
24%
91%
Points per game
1,0
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
57%
77%
Both score Ø 47%
43%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,9
Scored
1,2
3,1
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+2,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27% Possession 73%
4 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 10. · Celtic 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 22 20 1 1 +52 61
2 Rangers 23 17 4 2 +31 55
3 Hearts 23 11 6 6 +11 39
4 Livingston 22 9 5 8 -6 32
5 Hibernian 23 9 3 11 -2 30
6 St Mirren 22 8 6 8 -8 30
7 Aberdeen 23 9 2 12 -8 29
8 ST Johnstone 23 7 3 13 -12 24
9 Motherwell 22 5 5 12 -7 20
10 Dundee United 21 5 5 11 -12 20
11 Ross County 23 5 5 13 -17 20
12 Kilmarnock 23 5 5 13 -22 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Celtic
45′
ℹ️ Kyogo Furuhashi
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Half-time 0–0
Kieran Freeman 🟨
51′
51′
Jota 0–1
A. Mooy
55′
ℹ️ Jota
VAR: Penalty confirmed
56′
A. Mooy 0–2
J. McGrath 🔁
↦ I. Harkes
60′
67′
🔁 M. O'Riley
↦ R. Hatate
67′
🔁 D. Maeda
↦ Jota
67′
🔁 D. Turnbull
↦ A. Mooy
A. Djoum 🔁
↦ D. Levitt
74′
R. MacLeod 🔁
↦ S. Fletcher
74′
P. Pawlett 🔁
↦ G. Middleton
74′
82′
🔁 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
↦ K. Furuhashi
82′
🔁 S. Hakšabanović
↦ L. Abada
Jamie McGrath 🟨
84′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Dundee United

5-3-2
1 M. Birighitti G
22 K. Freeman D
2 L. Smith D
12 R. Edwards D
3 S. McMann D
16 A. Behich D
23 I. Harkes M
14 C. Sibbald M
19 D. Levitt M
9 S. Fletcher F
15 G. Middleton F
Bench (9)
18 J. McGrath
10 A. Djoum
44 R. MacLeod
8 P. Pawlett
4 C. Mulgrew
6 R. Graham
31 J. Newman
28 M. Anim Cudjoe
7 I. Niskanen

Coach: L. Fox

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
4 C. Starfelt D
3 G. Taylor D
13 A. Mooy M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
11 L. Abada F
8 K. Furuhashi F
17 Jota F
Bench (9)
33 M. O'Riley
38 D. Maeda
14 D. Turnbull
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
9 S. Hakšabanović
49 J. Forrest
24 T. Iwata
29 S. Bain
18 Y. Kobayashi

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
11,27
U
6,40
B ✓
1,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,45
U2,5 ✓
2,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.