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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Arys
Wisla Plock
T T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Warta Poznan
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wisla Plock Warta Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,3
3,0
Scored
0,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 39%
36%
41%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
55%
32%
Both score Ø 50%
59%
41%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
17 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 8
16 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Wisla Plock 12. · Warta Poznan 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 23 17 4 2 +29 55
2 Legia 23 13 7 3 +9 46
3 Lech Poznan 23 11 6 6 +10 39
4 Widzew Lodz 23 10 6 7 +4 36
5 Pogon Szczecin 23 10 6 7 +1 36
6 Cracovia 23 9 6 8 +7 33
7 Warta Poznan 22 9 6 7 +6 33
8 Radomiak Radom 23 9 5 9 +0 32
9 Stal Mielec 23 8 5 10 -2 29
10 Slask Wroclaw 23 7 8 8 -6 29
11 Zaglebie 23 8 5 10 -11 29
12 Wisla Plock 22 8 4 10 +0 28
13 Piast Gliwice 23 7 5 11 -1 26
14 Jagiellonia 23 5 10 8 +0 25
15 Gornik Zabrze 23 6 7 10 -6 25
16 Korona Kielce 23 6 5 12 -11 23
17 Lechia Gdansk 23 6 4 13 -19 22
18 Legnica 23 4 7 12 -10 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wisla Plock Warta Poznan
Half-time 0–0
Mateusz Szwoch 🟨
52′
1–0 M. Szwoch
D. Furman
54′
57′
🟨 Niilo Mäenpää
60′
🟨 Niilo Mäenpää
60′
🟥 Niilo Mäenpää
66′
🟨 Miguel Luís
66′
🔁 J. Kiełb
↦ K. Matuszewski
66′
🔁 M. Kopczyński
↦ M. Szczepański
67′
🔁 K. Szmyt
↦ M. Żurawski
I. Drapiński 🔁
↦ A. Pawlak
70′
72′
🔁 S. Savić
↦ Miguel Luís
Ł. Sekulski 🔁
↦ B. Śpiączka
77′
M. Kolar 🔁
↦ R. Wolski
77′
77′
🔁 E. Destan
↦ A. Zreľák
83′
🟨 Kajetan Szmyt
D. Warchoł 🔁
↦ M. Szwoch
84′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Wisla Plock

3-4-2-1
1 K. Kamiński G
25 J. Rzeźniczak D
3 S. Kapuadi D
4 A. Chrzanowski D
15 K. Vallo M
8 D. Furman M
23 F. Lesniak M
89 A. Pawlak M
14 M. Szwoch F
10 R. Wolski F
18 B. Śpiączka F
Bench (9)
21 I. Drapiński
20 Ł. Sekulski
24 M. Kolar
95 D. Warchoł
69 B. Gradecki
37 P. Chrupałła
22 M. Gono
27 M. Kvocera
9 D. Kocyła

Coach: P. Staňo

Warta Poznan

3-4-3
1 A. Lis G
54 D. Stavrópoulos D
44 D. Szymonowicz D
4 R. Ivanov D
2 J. Grzesik M
16 Miguel Luís M
8 N. Mäenpää M
22 K. Matuszewski M
6 M. Żurawski F
99 A. Zreľák F
30 M. Szczepański F
Bench (9)
3 J. Kiełb
15 M. Kopczyński
24 K. Szmyt
77 S. Savić
94 E. Destan
17 S. Sarbinowski
33 J. Grobelny
14 K. Kościelny
34 W. Pleśnierowicz

Coach: D. Szulczek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Arys · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.