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Champions League
Referee: D Orsato
Bayern Munich
S S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Paris SG
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
2,5
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 79%
100%
57%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
14%
86%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
2,7
2,3
Conceded
0,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+2,4
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,72 xG 1,10
45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Feb -23 Paris SG – Bayern Munich 0–1

Match report

Bayern Munich Paris SG
36′
🔁 N. Mukiele
↦ Marquinhos
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Bitshiabu
↦ N. Mukiele
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
53′
1–0 E. Choupo-Moting ⚽
L. Goretzka
61′
L. Sané 🔁
↦ E. Choupo-Moting
68′
76′
🔁 W. Zaïre-Emery
↦ Fabián Ruiz
81′
🔁 H. Ekitike
↦ Vitinha
S. Mané 🔁
↦ J. Musiala
82′
82′
🔁 Juan Bernat
↦ Nuno Mendes
S. Gnabry 🔁
↦ K. Coman
86′
João Cancelo 🔁
↦ T. Müller
86′
2–0 S. Gnabry ⚽
João Cancelo
89′
95′
🟨 Achraf Hakimi
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
27 Y. Sommer G
44 J. Stanišić D
2 D. Upamecano D
4 M. de Ligt D
19 A. Davies D
8 L. Goretzka M
6 J. Kimmich M
11 K. Coman M
25 T. Müller M
42 J. Musiala M
13 E. Choupo-Moting F
Bench (12)
10 L. Sané
17 S. Mané
7 S. Gnabry
22 João Cancelo
14 P. Wanner
46 A. Ibrahimović
26 S. Ulreich
20 B. Sarr
23 D. Blind
40 N. Mazraoui
39 M. Tel
38 R. Gravenberch

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Paris SG

3-5-2
99 G. Donnarumma G
15 Danilo Pereira D
4 Sergio Ramos D
5 Marquinhos D
2 A. Hakimi M
17 Vitinha M
6 M. Verratti M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
25 Nuno Mendes M
30 L. Messi F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (11)
26 N. Mukiele
31 E. Bitshiabu
33 W. Zaïre-Emery
44 H. Ekitike
14 Juan Bernat
29 T. Pembélé
35 Ismaël Gharbi
90 A. Letellier
28 Carlos Soler
18 Renato Sanches
16 Sergio Rico

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Orsato · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.