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Premiership

Referee: M MacDermid

Livingston

T T T U T

2–4

Full-time

Celtic

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Celtic

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 36%

65%

Points per game

0,5

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

71%

59%

Both score Ø 53%

65%

41%

Average goals

2,9

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,9

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–4

0,88 xG 2,70

34% Possession 66%

13 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

11 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Livingston 12. · Celtic 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	19	12	5	2	+21	+7.4	41
2	Celtic	17	11	2	4	+15	+6.6	35
3	Motherwell	18	7	9	2	+11	+8.7	30
4	Rangers	17	7	8	2	+9	+0.4	29
5	Hibernian	19	7	7	5	+9	-0.1	28
6	Aberdeen	17	7	3	7	-1	-5.3	24
7	Falkirk	19	6	6	7	-7	-1.1	24
8	Dundee United	18	4	9	5	-3	-3.9	21
9	St Mirren	16	4	5	7	-7	+2.1	17
10	Dundee	19	4	4	11	-16	-8.1	16
11	Kilmarnock	18	2	6	10	-16	-5.0	12
12	Livingston	17	1	6	10	-15	-1.8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	9	7	1	1	+15	+7.0	22
2	Hearts	9	6	3	0	+13	+3.1	21
3	Motherwell	9	5	3	1	+9	+7.0	18
4	Hibernian	9	4	3	2	+8	+2.7	15
5	Rangers	8	3	4	1	+2	+2.6	13
6	Dundee United	10	3	4	3	-1	-1.7	13
7	Dundee	9	4	1	4	-2	-2.4	13
8	Aberdeen	9	3	3	3	+2	-3.9	12
9	St Mirren	9	3	3	3	-1	+3.3	12
10	Falkirk	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.1	11
11	Kilmarnock	10	1	3	6	-9	-1.1	6
12	Livingston	7	1	2	4	-2	+2.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	10	6	2	2	+8	+4.3	20
2	Rangers	9	4	4	1	+7	-2.2	16
3	Hibernian	10	3	4	3	+1	-2.8	13
4	Celtic	8	4	1	3	+0	-0.5	13
5	Falkirk	10	4	1	5	-7	-2.2	13
6	Motherwell	9	2	6	1	+2	+1.6	12
7	Aberdeen	8	4	0	4	-3	-1.4	12
8	Dundee United	8	1	5	2	-2	-2.1	8
9	Kilmarnock	8	1	3	4	-7	-3.8	6
10	St Mirren	7	1	2	4	-6	-1.2	5
11	Livingston	10	0	4	6	-13	-3.8	4
12	Dundee	10	0	3	7	-14	-5.7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.