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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Rangers
U S T S T
1–0
Full-time
Motherwell
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rangers Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 17/18 matches
Win Ø 40%
41%
39%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
47%
39%
Both score Ø 55%
59%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,67 xG 0,62
46% Possession 54%
28 Shots 12
13 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 12
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 6
15 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rangers 4. · Motherwell 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 19 12 5 2 +21 +7.4 41
2 Celtic 17 11 2 4 +15 +6.6 35
3 Motherwell 18 7 9 2 +11 +8.7 30
4 Rangers 17 7 8 2 +9 +0.4 29
5 Hibernian 19 7 7 5 +9 -0.1 28
6 Aberdeen 17 7 3 7 -1 -5.3 24
7 Falkirk 19 6 6 7 -7 -1.1 24
8 Dundee United 18 4 9 5 -3 -3.9 21
9 St Mirren 16 4 5 7 -7 +2.1 17
10 Dundee 19 4 4 11 -16 -8.1 16
11 Kilmarnock 18 2 6 10 -16 -5.0 12
12 Livingston 17 1 6 10 -15 -1.8 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rangers Motherwell
Half-time 0–0
M. Moore 🔁
↦ M. Diomande
56′
1–0 T. Aasgaard
67′
69′
🔁 S. O'Donnell
↦ J. Koutroumbis
69′
🔁 C. Slattery
↦ E. Just
69′
🔁 A. Stamatelopoulos
↦ C. Hendry
B. Miovski 🔁
↦ Chermiti
77′
Connor Barron 🟨
78′
Thelo Aasgaard 🟨
80′
84′
🔁 D. E. Osong
↦ T. Sparrow
86′
🟨 Paul McGinn
J. Souttar 🔁
↦ D. Sterling
87′
F. Curtis 🔁
↦ D. Gassama
87′
L. Cameron 🔁
↦ T. Aasgaard
87′
John Souttar 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 O. Priestman
↦ E. Watt
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butland G
2 J. Tavernier D
21 D. Sterling D
37 E. Fernandez D
30 J. Meghoma D
8 C. Barron M
43 N. Raskin M
11 T. Aasgaard M
10 M. Diomande M
23 D. Gassama M
9 Chermiti F
Bench (9)
31 L. Kelly
5 J. Souttar
3 M. Aarons
20 K. Dowell
52 F. Curtis
16 L. Cameron
47 M. Moore
28 B. Miovski
99 Danilo Pereira

Coach: Danny Rohl

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
13 C. Ward G
22 J. Koutroumbis D
16 P. McGinn D
57 S. Welsh D
45 E. Longelo D
20 E. Watt M
12 L. Fadinger M
7 T. Sparrow M
21 E. Just M
90 I. Said M
66 C. Hendry F
Bench (9)
31 Matty Connelly
2 S. O'Donnell
4 L. Gordon
8 C. Slattery
9 A. Stamatelopoulos
24 D. E. Osong
25 O. Priestman
28 L. Ross
39 Z. McAllister

Coach: Jens Askou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,74
U
3,66
B
4,40
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.