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Premiership
Referee: D McFarlane
Livingston
U U T T T
2–2
Full-time
Dundee
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 13%
7%
19%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
73%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
44%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,69 xG 1,01
65% Possession 35%
15 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 0
2 Offside 4
23 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 12. · Dundee 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 16 10 5 1 +19 +5.1 35
2 Celtic 15 10 2 3 +14 +4.0 32
3 Motherwell 16 6 8 2 +10 +6.7 26
4 Rangers 15 6 8 1 +9 +0.2 26
5 Hibernian 16 6 6 4 +9 +1.7 24
6 Aberdeen 15 6 3 6 +0 -2.7 21
7 Falkirk 16 5 6 5 -5 -0.4 21
8 Dundee United 15 3 7 5 -4 -3.4 16
9 St Mirren 15 3 5 7 -8 +0.3 14
10 Kilmarnock 16 2 6 8 -14 -4.4 12
11 Dundee 16 3 3 10 -16 -7.4 12
12 Livingston 15 1 5 9 -14 +0.3 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Dundee
13′
Y. Dhanda 0–1
18′
C. Congreve 0–2
T. Yogane
29′
🔁 I. Samuels
↦ R. Astley
Half-time 0–2
C. McLennan 🔁
↦ J. Brenet
46′
S. May 🔁
↦ M. Susoho
61′
62′
🔁 A. Hay
↦ S. Murray
1–2 J. Bokila
C. Montano
64′
76′
🔁 E. Ingram
↦ C. Congreve
76′
🔁 C. Jones
↦ Y. Dhanda
78′
🟨 Callum Jones
T. Yengi 🔁
↦ S. Pittman
82′
2–2 T. Yengi
M. Tait
85′
Robbie Muirhead 🟨
88′
R. Muirhead 🔁
↦ J. Bokila
88′
89′
🔁 E. Acquah
↦ T. Yogane
Connor McLennan 🟨
91′
95′
🟨 Ethan Hamilton
Ryan McGowan 🟥
96′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
28 J. Prior G
30 J. Brenet D
5 R. McGowan D
27 D. Wilson D
19 D. Finlayson D
25 M. Tait M
7 M. Susoho M
15 L. Smith M
8 S. Pittman M
26 C. Montano M
18 J. Bokila F
Bench (9)
14 J. Hamilton
9 R. Muirhead
10 G. Carey
11 C. McLennan
17 S. May
22 A. Shinnie
24 M. Sylla
39 T. Yengi
40 S. Lawal

Coach: Marvin Bartley

Dundee

4-5-1
1 J. McCracken G
4 R. Astley D
22 L. Graham D
5 B. Koumetio D
7 D. Wright D
20 C. Congreve M
8 P. Digby M
21 Y. Dhanda M
48 E. Hamilton M
17 T. Yogane M
15 S. Murray F
Bench (9)
13 K. O'Hara
2 E. Ingram
6 A. Donnelly
9 E. Acquah
10 F. Robertson
11 A. Hay
12 I. Samuels
18 C. Reilly
28 C. Jones

Coach: Steven Pressley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,88
U ✓
3,48
B
3,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D McFarlane · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.