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Premiership

Referee: M MacDermid

Motherwell

S U U S U

1–0

Full-time

Dundee

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Dundee

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 27%

35%

18%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

41%

53%

Both score Ø 50%

53%

47%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

1,5

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,64 xG 0,12

60% Possession 40%

16 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

2 Corners 3

4 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 4. · Dundee 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	17	11	5	1	+21	+5.8	38
2	Celtic	16	10	2	4	+13	+4.0	32
3	Rangers	16	7	8	1	+10	+1.0	29
4	Motherwell	17	6	9	2	+10	+7.1	27
5	Hibernian	17	6	6	5	+8	+0.9	24
6	Aberdeen	16	7	3	6	+1	-2.7	24
7	Falkirk	17	5	6	6	-7	-1.2	21
8	Dundee United	17	4	8	5	-3	-3.9	20
9	St Mirren	15	3	5	7	-8	+0.3	14
10	Dundee	17	3	4	10	-16	-7.1	13
11	Kilmarnock	17	2	6	9	-15	-4.4	12
12	Livingston	16	1	6	9	-14	-0.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	8	6	1	1	+13	+4.4	19
2	Hearts	8	5	3	0	+12	+2.6	18
3	Motherwell	8	4	3	1	+8	+5.5	15
4	Rangers	8	3	4	1	+2	+2.6	13
5	Hibernian	8	3	3	2	+7	+3.7	12
6	Aberdeen	9	3	3	3	+2	-3.9	12
7	Dundee United	9	3	3	3	-1	-1.7	12
8	Falkirk	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.1	11
9	Dundee	8	3	1	4	-3	-2.9	10
10	St Mirren	8	2	3	3	-2	+1.5	9
11	Kilmarnock	9	1	3	5	-8	-0.5	6
12	Livingston	7	1	2	4	-2	+2.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	9	6	2	1	+9	+3.3	20
2	Rangers	8	4	4	0	+8	-1.6	16
3	Celtic	8	4	1	3	+0	-0.5	13
4	Motherwell	9	2	6	1	+2	+1.6	12
5	Hibernian	9	3	3	3	+1	-2.8	12
6	Aberdeen	7	4	0	3	-1	+1.2	12
7	Falkirk	8	3	1	4	-7	-2.2	10
8	Dundee United	8	1	5	2	-2	-2.1	8
9	Kilmarnock	8	1	3	4	-7	-3.8	6
10	St Mirren	7	1	2	4	-6	-1.2	5
11	Livingston	9	0	4	5	-12	-2.0	4
12	Dundee	9	0	3	6	-13	-4.2	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.