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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Rangers
S T S S S
2–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rangers Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
50%
35%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
30%
Both score Ø 48%
60%
35%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

64% Possession 36%
22 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rangers 3. · Aberdeen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 20 13 5 2 +22 +9.0 44
2 Celtic 20 12 2 6 +13 +8.7 38
3 Rangers 20 10 8 2 +13 +3.2 38
4 Motherwell 21 9 9 3 +14 +6.9 36
5 Hibernian 21 9 7 5 +13 +1.8 34
6 Falkirk 20 7 6 7 -6 +0.4 27
7 Dundee United 21 5 10 6 -2 -5.1 25
8 Aberdeen 20 7 4 9 -4 -6.3 25
9 Dundee 21 6 4 11 -14 -7.3 22
10 St Mirren 19 4 6 9 -10 +2.3 18
11 Kilmarnock 21 2 7 12 -19 -8.4 13
12 Livingston 20 1 6 13 -20 -5.2 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rangers Aberdeen
5′
🟨 Nicky Devlin
1–0 E. Fernandez
C. Barron
11′
2–0 N. Raskin
C. Barron
41′
Half-time 2–0
T. Aasgaard 🔁
↦ M. Moore
46′
50′
🟨 Mats Knoester
D. Sterling 🔁
↦ J. Souttar
58′
B. Miovski 🔁
↦ Chermiti
58′
62′
🔁 L. Clarkson
↦ K. Kjartansson
62′
🔁 M. Lazetic
↦ K. Bilalovic
Danilo Pereira 🔁
↦ M. Diomande
69′
73′
🔁 J. Karlsson
↦ K. Nisbet
73′
🔁 A. Jensen
↦ E. Gyamfi
M. Aarons 🔁
↦ C. Barron
87′
87′
🔁 T. Keskinen
↦ S. Armstrong
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Rangers

4-3-3
1 J. Butland G
2 J. Tavernier D
5 J. Souttar D
37 E. Fernandez D
30 J. Meghoma D
8 C. Barron M
43 N. Raskin M
10 M. Diomande M
23 D. Gassama F
9 Chermiti F
47 M. Moore F
Bench (9)
31 L. Kelly
19 C. Nsiala
3 M. Aarons
21 D. Sterling
17 R. Matondo
20 K. Dowell
11 T. Aasgaard
28 B. Miovski
99 Danilo Pereira

Coach: Danny Rohl

Aberdeen

3-4-1-2
1 D. Mitov G
8 D. Polvara D
22 J. Milne D
5 M. Knoester D
2 N. Devlin M
29 K. Kjartansson M
4 G. Shinnie M
77 E. Gyamfi
16 S. Armstrong F
15 K. Nisbet F
14 K. Bilalovic F
Bench (9)
13 N. Suman
6 S. Nilsen
10 L. Clarkson
11 N. Milanovic
17 J. Karlsson
27 M. Lazetic
28 A. Jensen
38 D. Lobban
81 T. Keskinen

Coach: Peter Leven

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,51
U
4,21
B
5,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.