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Premiership

Referee: J Beaton

Falkirk

T S T S S

0–1

Full-time

Celtic

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Falkirk Celtic

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,8

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 50%

38%

62%

Points per game

1,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

52%

62%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Falkirk 6. · Celtic 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	21	14	5	2	+23	+7.7	47
2	Rangers	22	12	8	2	+17	+4.6	44
3	Celtic	21	13	2	6	+17	+10.8	41
4	Motherwell	22	9	10	3	+14	+6.7	37
5	Hibernian	22	9	8	5	+13	+2.0	35
6	Falkirk	21	8	6	7	-4	+0.4	30
7	Dundee United	22	5	10	7	-6	-7.2	25
8	Aberdeen	22	7	4	11	-8	-7.8	25
9	Dundee	22	6	4	12	-15	-6.0	22
10	St Mirren	20	4	6	10	-12	+2.4	18
11	Kilmarnock	22	2	8	12	-19	-7.6	14
12	Livingston	21	1	7	13	-20	-5.9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	11	8	1	2	+17	+9.5	25
2	Hearts	10	7	3	0	+14	+4.7	24
3	Motherwell	11	7	3	1	+13	+8.3	24
4	Rangers	11	6	4	1	+6	+5.6	22
5	Hibernian	11	5	4	2	+10	+2.9	19
6	Dundee	11	5	1	5	-2	-1.0	16
7	Falkirk	10	3	5	2	+1	+2.6	14
8	Aberdeen	11	3	4	4	+0	-4.9	13
9	Dundee United	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.5	13
10	St Mirren	11	3	4	4	-3	+4.8	13
11	Livingston	10	1	3	6	-6	-0.5	6
12	Kilmarnock	11	1	3	7	-11	-3.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	11	7	2	2	+9	+3.0	23
2	Rangers	11	6	4	1	+11	-1.0	22
3	Hibernian	11	4	4	3	+3	-0.9	16
4	Celtic	10	5	1	4	+0	+1.3	16
5	Falkirk	11	5	1	5	-5	-2.2	16
6	Motherwell	11	2	7	2	+1	-1.6	13
7	Dundee United	11	2	6	3	-4	-4.7	12
8	Aberdeen	11	4	0	7	-8	-2.9	12
9	Kilmarnock	11	1	5	5	-8	-4.6	8
10	Dundee	11	1	3	7	-13	-4.9	6
11	St Mirren	9	1	2	6	-9	-2.4	5
12	Livingston	11	0	4	7	-14	-5.4	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.