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Premiership

Referee: R Lee

Celtic

T S T S T

4–0

Full-time

Falkirk

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Falkirk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

56%

33%

Points per game

1,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

44%

78%

Both score Ø 56%

33%

78%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%

26 Shots 8

11 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 5

14 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celtic 2. · Falkirk 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	9	8	1	0	+15	+0.8	25
2	Celtic	9	5	2	2	+4	+2.5	17
3	Hibernian	9	3	5	1	+5	+1.1	14
4	Dundee United	9	3	4	2	+3	-1.0	13
5	Rangers	9	2	6	1	+1	-0.9	12
6	Falkirk	9	3	3	3	-3	-0.7	12
7	Motherwell	9	2	5	2	+1	+1.8	11
8	Kilmarnock	9	2	4	3	-2	-0.1	10
9	St Mirren	9	2	3	4	-4	-1.5	9
10	Dundee	10	2	3	5	-6	-2.0	9
11	Aberdeen	9	2	1	6	-5	-0.6	7
12	Livingston	10	1	3	6	-9	+0.6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	5	4	1	0	+8	-0.1	13
2	Celtic	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
3	Dundee United	5	2	1	2	+1	-0.9	7
4	Dundee	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.8	7
5	Hibernian	4	1	3	0	+4	+0.3	6
6	Falkirk	5	1	3	1	+0	+0.1	6
7	Rangers	5	1	3	1	+0	+1.2	6
8	Motherwell	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.0	5
9	St Mirren	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.2	5
10	Kilmarnock	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.2	5
11	Aberdeen	5	1	1	3	+0	-0.7	4
12	Livingston	4	1	0	3	-1	+0.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	4	4	0	0	+7	+0.9	12
2	Hibernian	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.8	8
3	Celtic	5	2	1	2	-1	+0.7	7
4	Dundee United	4	1	3	0	+2	-0.1	6
5	Rangers	4	1	3	0	+1	-2.0	6
6	Motherwell	5	1	3	1	+0	-0.2	6
7	Falkirk	4	2	0	2	-3	-0.8	6
8	Kilmarnock	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.3	5
9	St Mirren	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.8	4
10	Aberdeen	4	1	0	3	-5	+0.1	3
11	Livingston	6	0	3	3	-8	-0.2	3
12	Dundee	5	0	2	3	-6	-1.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.