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Premiership
Referee: Steven McLean
Hibernian
S S T T S
1–2
Full-time
Motherwell
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,94 xG 2,19
48% Possession 52%
19 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. May -26 Hibernian – Motherwell 0–1 21. Mar -26 Motherwell – Hibernian 0–0 10. Jan -26 Hibernian – Motherwell 1–1 25. Nov -25 Motherwell – Hibernian 2–0 11. Jan -25 Hibernian – Motherwell 3–1

Match report

Hibernian Motherwell
40′
⚽ L. Fadinger 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Josh Mulligan 🟨
48′
55′
🟨 Oscar Priestman
1–1 M. Boyle ⚽
56′
R. Molotnikov 🔁
↦ A. Mayor
60′
66′
🔁 J. Knight-Lebel
↦ J. Girdwood-Reich
66′
🔁 T. Maswanhise
↦ W. Vogt
68′
🟨 Lukas Fadinger
A. Suto 🔁
↦ M. Boyle
73′
A. Abdulai 🔁
↦ M. Chaiwa
73′
75′
🔁 A. Lowry
↦ R. Charles-Cook
76′
🟨 Tom Sparrow
82′
🔁 E. Wilson
↦ E. Longelo
82′
🔁 O. Whyte
↦ O. Priestman
85′
⚽ I. Said 1–2
D. Williams
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-3
1 R. Sallinger G
5 W. O'Hora D
6 J. Kerr D
21 J. Obita D
25 F. Passlack M
8 J. Mulligan M
14 M. Chaiwa M
3 A. Mayor M
7 O. Elding F
9 N. Lowe F
10 M. Boyle F
Bench (9)
13 J. Smith
18 T. Klidje
32 J. Campbell
22 A. Suto
47 A. Abdulai
4 G. Hanley
27 K. Megwa
30 J. MacIntyre
20 R. Molotnikov

Coach: David Gray

Motherwell

4-4-2
1 A. Paulsen G
7 T. Sparrow D
3 J. Girdwood-Reich D
5 M. Moormann D
20 D. Williams D
77 W. Vogt M
12 O. Priestman M
8 L. Fadinger M
45 E. Longelo M
19 I. Said F
17 R. Charles-Cook F
Bench (9)
21 Matty Connelly
23 E. Wilson
4 J. Knight-Lebel
24 L. Ross
25 O. Whyte
27 M. Booth
18 T. Maswanhise
11 A. Lowry
29 Z. McAllister

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,24
🔒
U
3,38
🔒
B ✓
2,97
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,78
🔒
U2,5
1,94
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.