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Bundesliga

Referee: A Harkam

St. Polten

U S U T T

1–0

Full-time

Mattersburg

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Polten Mattersburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 19%

15%

23%

Points per game

0,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

69%

65%

Both score Ø 54%

42%

65%

Average goals

3,3

3,4

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

7 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

3 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 18

6 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Polten 12. · Mattersburg 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	26	18	6	2	+62	60
2	LASK	26	17	4	5	+26	55
3	SK Rapid	26	14	7	5	+25	49
4	Wolfsberger AC	26	12	6	8	+21	42
5	Sturm Graz	26	10	5	11	+1	35
6	Hartberg	26	10	5	11	-18	35
7	Austria Vienna	26	7	11	8	-1	32
8	Altach	26	9	5	12	-6	32
9	Tirol	26	6	6	14	-26	24
10	Mattersburg	26	6	5	15	-27	23
11	Admira	26	5	7	14	-24	22
12	St. Polten	26	4	9	13	-33	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	13	11	1	1	+35	34
2	SK Rapid	13	6	4	3	+11	22
3	LASK	13	6	3	4	+10	21
4	Wolfsberger AC	13	5	4	4	+10	19
5	Austria Vienna	13	5	4	4	+2	19
6	Altach	13	5	3	5	+1	18
7	Hartberg	13	5	3	5	-5	18
8	Sturm Graz	13	4	2	7	-4	14
9	Admira	13	2	3	8	-13	9
10	Tirol	13	2	3	8	-20	9
11	St. Polten	13	1	5	7	-21	8
12	Mattersburg	13	1	3	9	-18	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	13	11	1	1	+16	34
2	SK Rapid	13	8	3	2	+14	27
3	Salzburg	13	7	5	1	+27	26
4	Wolfsberger AC	13	7	2	4	+11	23
5	Sturm Graz	13	6	3	4	+5	21
6	Mattersburg	13	5	2	6	-9	17
7	Hartberg	13	5	2	6	-13	17
8	Tirol	13	4	3	6	-6	15
9	Altach	13	4	2	7	-7	14
10	Austria Vienna	13	2	7	4	-3	13
11	Admira	13	3	4	6	-11	13
12	St. Polten	13	3	4	6	-12	13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.