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Superligaen
Horsens
T S S S U
2–2
Full-time
Esbjerg
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Horsens Esbjerg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Superligaen · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
37%
19%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
59%
56%
Both score Ø 56%
48%
63%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Horsens 8. · Esbjerg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 27 22 2 3 +30 68
2 FC Copenhagen 27 18 3 6 +18 57
3 Aarhus 27 14 6 7 +14 48
4 Brondby 27 13 4 10 +10 43
5 Nordsjaelland 27 12 6 9 +13 42
6 Aalborg 27 11 5 11 +9 38
7 Randers FC 27 10 5 12 +2 35
8 Horsens 27 10 5 12 -19 35
9 Odense 27 9 6 12 -2 33
10 Lyngby 27 9 5 13 -15 32
11 Sonderjyske 27 7 9 11 -12 30
12 Hobro 27 3 15 9 -10 24
13 Esbjerg 27 5 6 16 -20 21
14 Silkeborg 27 4 7 16 -18 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.