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Bundesliga
Referee: C Ciochirca
St. Polten
U T T U S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Polten Austria Vienna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 22%
17%
26%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
74%
61%
Both score Ø 52%
43%
61%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Polten 9. · Austria Vienna 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 LASK 23 17 3 3 +29 54
2 Salzburg 23 15 6 2 +50 51
3 Wolfsberger AC 23 12 5 6 +24 41
4 SK Rapid 23 11 7 5 +19 40
5 Sturm Graz 23 9 5 9 +8 32
6 Hartberg 23 9 5 9 -13 32
7 Austria Vienna 23 6 10 7 -2 28
8 Altach 23 7 4 12 -10 25
9 St. Polten 23 4 8 11 -28 20
10 Admira 23 4 7 12 -22 19
11 Mattersburg 23 5 4 14 -26 19
12 Tirol 23 5 4 14 -29 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Polten Austria Vienna
3′
M. Sarkaria 0–1
17′
🟨 M. Madl
S. Ingolitsch 🔁
↦ M. Rasner
35′
37′
🔁 A. Poulsen
↦ F. Klein
R. Ljubicic 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Madl
↦ E. Palmer-Brown
D. Hofbauer 🔁
↦ C. Messerer
46′
M. Rasner 🟨
47′
C. Burke 🟨
55′
C. Burke 🔁
↦ Pak Kwang-Ryong
59′
D. Schutz 🔁
↦ N. Meister
59′
63′
🔁 B. Pichler
↦ P. Wimmer
63′
🔁 B. Edomwonyi
↦ C. Monschein
68′
🟨 C. Monschein
1–1 R. Ljubicic
D. Luxbacher
74′
D. Luxbacher 🔁
↦ G. Davies
80′
85′
🔁 S. Zwierschitz
↦ A. Grunwald
R. Ljubicic 🟨
91′
R. Ljubicic 🟥
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St. Polten

3-4-2-1
1 Christoph Riegler G
14 Christoph Klarer D
3 Luan D
17 Ahmet Muhamedbegovic D
22 Sandro Ingolitsch M
39 Robert Ljubicic M
4 Dominik Hofbauer M
21 Kofi Schulz M
20 Daniel Schutz F
10 Daniel Luxbacher F
9 Cory Burke F
Bench (7)
32 Thomas Vollnhofer
5 Luca Meisl
38 Christoph Messerer
11 George Davies
18 Martin Rasner
19 Kwang Ryong Pak
7 Nicolas Meister

Coach: A. Schmidt

Austria Vienna

4-2-3-1
32 Patrick Pentz G
8 Stephan Zwierschitz D
30 Michael Madl D
24 Alexandar Borković D
2 Andreas Poulsen D
27 Thomas Ebner M
4 James Jeggo M
39 Manprit Sarkaria M
36 Dominik Fitz M
11 Benedikt Pichler M
20 Bright Edomwonyi F
Bench (7)
99 Mirko Kos
17 Florian Klein
23 Erik Palmer-Brown
10 Alexander Grünwald
7 Maximilian Sax
9 Patrick Wimmer
14 Christoph Monschein

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Ciochirca · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.