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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Aalesund
S S S S S
1–4
Full-time
Molde
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Aalesund Molde
10′
M. Eikrem 0–1
24′
🟨 Leke James
1–1 S. Nordli
28′
Half-time 1–2
46′
E. Hussain 1–2
I. Uzochukwu 🔁
↦ F. Carlsen
50′
54′
L. James 1–3
K. Haugen
H. Fridjonsson 🔁
↦ D. Grétarsson
58′
62′
🔁 T. Christensen
↦ M. Eikrem
63′
🔁 M. Moström
↦ O. Brynhildsen
70′
🟨 Leke James
70′
🟥 Leke James
D. Klinkenberg 🔁
↦ O. Lie
75′
S. Sno 🔁
↦ J. Hatlehol
75′
81′
🔁 M. Ellingsen
↦ E. Hussain
81′
🔁 E. Hestad
↦ E. Knudtzon
86′
E. Hestad 1–4
M. Ellingsen
89′
🔁 H. Wingo
↦ K. Haugen
90′
🟨 Henry Wingo
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Aalesund

3-4-3
1 A. Lie G
5 O. Lie D
4 J. Grønner D
3 D. Grétarsson D
15 S. Sæthre M
18 D. Ólafsson M
16 J. Hatlehol M
8 F. Carlsen M
11 S. Nordli F
22 S. Haugen F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (7)
30 I. Uzochukwu
10 H. Fridjonsson
6 D. Klinkenberg
2 S. Sno
25 G. Kongshavn
20 P. Bizoza
41 M. Karlsbakk

Coach: L. Bohinen

Molde

4-2-3-1
1 A. Linde G
28 K. Haugen D
2 M. Bjørnbak D
6 S. Gregersen D
27 M. Pedersen D
7 M. Eikrem M
16 E. Hussain M
17 F. Aursnes M
22 O. Brynhildsen M
14 E. Knudtzon M
10 L. James F
Bench (7)
15 T. Christensen
9 M. Moström
11 M. Ellingsen
19 E. Hestad
20 H. Wingo
12 Á. Craninx
23 E. Andersen

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.