Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Altach
Tirol
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sturm Graz
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +12 | +6.8 | 47 |
| 2 |
LASK
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +4 | +11.1 | 45 |
| 3 |
Salzburg
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | +17 | +9.0 | 44 |
| 4 |
SK Rapid
|
27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | +2 | -2.2 | 41 |
| 5 |
Austria Vienna
|
27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | -3 | +0.7 | 40 |
| 6 |
Altach
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | +1 | -5.9 | 37 |
| 7 |
Hartberg
|
27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | +3 | -9.6 | 36 |
| 8 |
Ried
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -3 | -1.6 | 36 |
| 9 |
Tirol
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | -7 | +1.7 | 35 |
| 10 |
Grazer AK
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -8 | -0.4 | 30 |
| 11 |
Wolfsberger AC
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -5 | -12.9 | 29 |
| 12 |
BW Linz
|
27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | -13 | +3.1 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Stojanovic
G
F. Milojevic
B. Zech
D
R. Rahmani
D
V. Demaku
M
M. Bahre
M
M. Ouedraogo
M
Y. Massombo
F
O. Diawara
F
S. Hrstic
F
Coach: Ognjen Zaric
M. Boras
D
J. Lawrence
D
D. Gugganig
D
M. Taferner
M
V. Muller
M
B. Bockle
M
M. Wels
F
N. Baden Frederiksen
F
L. Hinterseer
F
Coach: Philipp Semlic
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Tirol
Altach
Altach
Grazer AK
Ried
Altach
Wolfsberger AC
Altach
Altach
BW Linz
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.