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Pro League

Referee: N Laforge

Genk

T U S U S

1–1

Full-time

Charleroi

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 22/23 matches

Win Ø 36%

45%

26%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

68%

52%

Both score Ø 69%

77%

61%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,89 xG 1,49

61% Possession 39%

21 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

10 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 6. · Charleroi 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	23	16	7	0	+29	+22.7	55
2	Club Brugge	23	18	1	4	+22	+10.6	55
3	St Truiden	23	13	3	7	+10	+15.2	42
4	Mechelen	23	10	8	5	+9	-6.5	38
5	Gent	22	11	4	7	+6	+3.2	37
6	Genk	22	10	6	6	+6	+7.3	36
7	Cercle Brugge	27	9	7	11	+1	+2.5	34
8	Anderlecht	23	9	6	8	+4	+2.6	33
9	Waregem	27	9	4	14	-7	-5.9	31
10	Antwerp	23	8	5	10	+2	-2.4	29
11	Standard	23	8	5	10	-11	-10.8	29
12	Westerlo	23	7	7	9	-5	+0.7	28
13	Charleroi	23	6	4	13	-8	-2.8	22
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	23	5	7	11	-13	-7.7	22
15	RAAL La Louviere	27	4	10	13	-15	-9.7	22
16	Dender	27	3	6	18	-30	-19.1	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	12	12	0	0	+23	+12.5	36
2	Club Brugge	11	8	1	2	+10	+4.2	25
3	St Truiden	11	7	0	4	+1	+6.9	21
4	Gent	11	6	2	3	+8	+0.4	20
5	Genk	11	5	3	3	+4	+6.7	18
6	Antwerp	12	5	3	4	+3	+1.4	18
7	Waregem	13	5	2	6	-1	-0.7	17
8	Anderlecht	11	4	4	3	+7	+6.3	16
9	Mechelen	12	4	4	4	+1	-2.6	16
10	Westerlo	12	4	3	5	+0	+1.9	15
11	Charleroi	12	3	3	6	-3	-0.7	12
12	RAAL La Louviere	14	2	6	6	-7	-2.5	12
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	2	4	5	-2	-1.4	10
14	Cercle Brugge	13	2	3	8	-7	+0.3	9
15	Standard	11	1	5	5	-8	-3.3	8
16	Dender	14	1	2	11	-20	-9.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	12	10	0	2	+12	+6.4	30
2	Cercle Brugge	14	7	4	3	+8	+2.2	25
3	Mechelen	11	6	4	1	+8	-3.9	22
4	St Truiden	12	6	3	3	+9	+8.2	21
5	Standard	12	7	0	5	-3	-7.4	21
6	St. Gilloise	11	4	7	0	+6	+10.2	19
7	Genk	11	5	3	3	+2	+0.6	18
8	Gent	11	5	2	4	-2	+2.8	17
9	Anderlecht	12	5	2	5	-3	-3.6	17
10	Waregem	14	4	2	8	-6	-5.2	14
11	Westerlo	11	3	4	4	-5	-1.3	13
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	3	3	6	-11	-6.3	12
13	Antwerp	11	3	2	6	-1	-3.9	11
14	Charleroi	11	3	1	7	-5	-2.1	10
15	RAAL La Louviere	13	2	4	7	-8	-7.1	10
16	Dender	13	2	4	7	-10	-9.2	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.