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Bundesliga

Referee: A Talic

BW Linz

T U T S T

5–0

Full-time

Tirol

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

BW Linz Tirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 28%

20%

36%

Points per game

0,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

48%

52%

Both score Ø 58%

48%

68%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,13 xG 0,16

53% Possession 47%

16 Shots 3

6 Shots on target 0

7 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

4 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match BW Linz 12. · Tirol 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	25	14	3	8	+12	+8.6	45
2	LASK	26	13	5	8	+4	+8.7	44
3	Salzburg	26	11	8	7	+15	+9.3	41
4	SK Rapid	25	11	6	8	+2	-3.8	39
5	Austria Vienna	25	12	3	10	-1	+0.7	39
6	Altach	26	9	9	8	+1	-5.3	36
7	Ried	26	10	5	11	-3	-3.0	35
8	Hartberg	25	8	10	7	+3	-7.7	34
9	Tirol	25	9	7	9	-2	+4.1	34
10	Grazer AK	26	7	8	11	-8	+1.1	29
11	Wolfsberger AC	26	7	7	12	-5	-12.4	28
12	BW Linz	25	5	3	17	-18	-0.5	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	13	7	5	1	+7	+0.8	26
2	LASK	13	8	2	3	+6	+6.7	26
3	Tirol	13	6	3	4	+2	+2.6	21
4	Ried	13	6	3	4	+1	+1.1	21
5	Grazer AK	13	5	5	3	+2	+3.2	20
6	SK Rapid	13	6	2	5	+2	-2.4	20
7	Salzburg	13	5	3	5	+6	+4.3	18
8	Wolfsberger AC	13	4	5	4	+2	-3.0	17
9	Sturm Graz	12	5	2	5	-2	+1.9	17
10	Austria Vienna	12	5	2	5	-4	+0.8	17
11	Hartberg	13	4	4	5	+0	-1.7	16
12	BW Linz	12	4	1	7	-3	+2.1	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	13	9	1	3	+14	+6.7	28
2	Salzburg	13	6	5	2	+9	+5.0	23
3	Austria Vienna	13	7	1	5	+3	-0.1	22
4	SK Rapid	12	5	4	3	+0	-1.4	19
5	Hartberg	12	4	6	2	+3	-6.0	18
6	LASK	13	5	3	5	-2	+2.1	18
7	Ried	13	4	2	7	-4	-4.1	14
8	Tirol	12	3	4	5	-4	+1.6	13
9	Wolfsberger AC	13	3	2	8	-7	-9.4	11
10	Altach	13	2	4	7	-6	-6.1	10
11	Grazer AK	13	2	3	8	-10	-2.1	9
12	BW Linz	13	1	2	10	-15	-2.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.