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Bundesliga
Referee: Alain Sadikovski
LASK
S S S S S
4–1
Full-time
Ried
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Ried
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

2,12 xG 0,80
50% Possession 50%
15 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match LASK 1. · Ried 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 LASK 2 2 0 0 +5 +4.5 6
2 SK Rapid 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.6 6
3 Wolfsberger AC 2 1 1 0 +3 -0.4 4
4 Sturm Graz 2 1 1 0 +2 +2.7 4
5 Salzburg 2 1 1 0 +1 +5.8 4
6 Altach 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.6 3
7 Grazer AK 2 1 0 1 -2 -0.4 3
8 A. Lustenau 2 0 1 1 -1 -2.5 1
9 Ried 2 0 1 1 -1 +1.3 1
10 Tirol 2 0 1 1 -2 -2.4 1
11 Hartberg 2 0 0 2 -3 -4.5 0
12 Austria Vienna 2 0 0 2 -5 -5.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

LASK Ried
8′
P. Sissoko 0–1
S. Schwab
1–1 S. Adeniran
M. Usor
10′
2–1 M. Usor
A. Andrade
18′
3–1 S. Adeniran
M. Bogarde
27′
Half-time 3–1
A. Schopf 🔁
↦ S. Horvath
46′
C. Lang 🔁
↦ S. Adeniran
55′
4–1 C. Lang
M. Usor
57′
F. Flecker 🔁
↦ M. Bogarde
63′
K. Danek 🔁
↦ M. Usor
63′
65′
🔁 J. Mayer
↦ P. Sissoko
65′
🔁 M. Rasner
↦ S. Schwab
65′
🔁 J. Boguo
↦ E. E. Aisowieren
70′
🟨 Lukas Malicsek
73′
🟨 Samuel Johansen Chukwudi
Robert Ljubičić 🟥
74′
79′
🔁 T. Kusanovic
↦ O. Sorg
N. Kane 🔁
↦ K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen
83′
85′
🔁 T. Lund-Jensen
↦ D. Radonjic
92′
🟨 Joris Boguo
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

LASK

3-5-2
1 L. Jungwirth G
4 X. Mbuyamba D
43 J. Tornich D
16 A. Andrade D
20 K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen M
10 R. Ljubicic M
6 M. Bogarde M
30 S. Horvath M
2 G. Bello M
8 M. Usor F
7 S. Adeniran F
Bench (9)
33 T. Schutzenauer
25 Y. Dibango
3 M. Freckleton
21 M. Verhaeghe
29 F. Flecker
9 K. Danek
27 C. Lang
18 A. Schopf
45 N. Kane

Coach: Dietmar Kuhbauer

Ried

3-4-2-1
1 A. Leitner G
5 D. Radonjic D
28 S. Chukwudi D
30 O. Steurer D
4 L. Malicsek M
6 Y. Maart M
22 S. Schwab M
7 O. Sorg M
12 A. Bajic F
47 E. E. Aisowieren F
9 P. Sissoko
Bench (9)
77 F. Wimmer
25 D. Kirnbauer
33 A. Goiginger
26 J. Mayer
10 J. Nasrawe
8 M. Rasner
19 T. Lund-Jensen
21 T. Kusanovic
15 J. Boguo

Coach: Mario Despotovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.