Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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LASK
Ried
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 3–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
LASK
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | +4.5 | 6 |
| 2 |
SK Rapid
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +0.6 | 6 |
| 3 |
Wolfsberger AC
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | -0.4 | 4 |
| 4 |
Sturm Graz
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | +2.7 | 4 |
| 5 |
Salzburg
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | +5.8 | 4 |
| 6 |
Altach
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | +0.6 | 3 |
| 7 |
Grazer AK
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -0.4 | 3 |
| 8 |
A. Lustenau
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -2.5 | 1 |
| 9 |
Ried
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +1.3 | 1 |
| 10 |
Tirol
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -2.4 | 1 |
| 11 |
Hartberg
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -4.5 | 0 |
| 12 |
Austria Vienna
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | -5.5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Jungwirth
G
X. Mbuyamba
D
J. Tornich
D
A. Andrade
D
K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen
M
R. Ljubicic
M
M. Bogarde
M
S. Horvath
M
G. Bello
M
M. Usor
F
S. Adeniran
F
Coach: Dietmar Kuhbauer
A. Leitner
G
D. Radonjic
D
S. Chukwudi
D
O. Steurer
D
L. Malicsek
M
Y. Maart
M
S. Schwab
M
O. Sorg
M
A. Bajic
F
E. E. Aisowieren
F
P. Sissoko
Coach: Mario Despotovic
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Austria Vienna
LASK
LASK
Grazer AK
Austria Vienna
LASK
LASK
Salzburg
LASK
SK Rapid
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.