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Eredivisie

Referee: Ingmar Oostrom

Telstar

S U S S S

1–3

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Telstar Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,40 xG 2,54

61% Possession 39%

7 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Telstar 6. · Sparta Rotterdam 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
2	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
3	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
5	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
6	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
7	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
8	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
9	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
10	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
11	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
12	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
13	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.5	0
15	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
16	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
17	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0
18	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
2	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
3	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
4	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
6	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
7	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.5	0
8	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
9	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
2	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
3	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
5	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
6	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
7	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
8	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
9	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.