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Coppa Italia
Referee: G Manganiello
Fiorentina
U T U S U
4–1
Full-time
Benevento
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Benevento
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
1,7
4,3
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
14 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Mar -21 Benevento – Fiorentina 1–4 22. Nov -20 Fiorentina – Benevento 0–1 11. Mar -18 Fiorentina – Benevento 1–0 22. Oct -17 Benevento – Fiorentina 0–3

Match report

Fiorentina Benevento
1–0 A. Gudmundsson ⚽
2′
2–0 M. Kean ⚽
Joao Mario
35′
Half-time 2–0
Dodo 🔁
↦ Joao Mario
46′
3–0 L. Ranieri ⚽
R. Dragusin
48′
4–0 C. Ndour ⚽
M. Brescianini
50′
54′
⚽ D. Lamesta 4–1
P. Beruatto
55′
🔁 S. Verdi
↦ A. Prisco
56′
🔁 C. Kouan
↦ A. Talia
56′
🔁 D. Okereke
↦ M. Giugliano
C. Inao Oulai 🔁
↦ N. Fagioli
58′
F. Mastantuono 🔁
↦ A. Gudmundsson
58′
F. Croci 🔁
↦ A. Atta
65′
Christ Inao Oulaï 🟨
70′
77′
🔁 E. Pierozzi
↦ L. Sernicola
77′
🔁 G. Mignani
↦ F. Salvemini
M. Pongracic 🔁
↦ R. Dragusin
87′
92′
🟨 Pietro Beruatto
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-2-1
43 D. de Gea G
17 Joao Mario D
3 R. Dragusin D
6 L. Ranieri D
21 V. Valdepenas D
27 C. Ndour M
44 N. Fagioli M
4 M. Brescianini M
11 A. Gudmundsson M
14 A. Atta M
9 M. Kean F
Bench (12)
19 L. Lezzerini
53 O. Christensen
5 M. Pongracic
71 E. Kospo
31 Viery
29 N. Fortini
2 Dodo
80 G. Fabbian
42 C. Inao Oulai
30 F. Mastantuono
72 B. Mazzeo
70 F. Croci

Coach: Fabio Grosso

Benevento

4-2-3-1
26 G. Vannucchi G
17 L. Sernicola D
14 S. Scognamillo D
5 L. Caldirola D
20 P. Beruatto D
8 M. Maita M
4 A. Prisco M
11 D. Lamesta M
38 A. Talia M
24 M. Giugliano M
9 F. Salvemini F
Bench (11)
96 A. Sylla
22 M. Esposito
77 E. Pierozzi
15 C. Dalle Mura
23 P. Saio
6 A. Siatounis
28 C. Kouan
29 D. Okereke
32 G. Mignani
90 S. Verdi
30 Logan

Coach: Antonio Floro Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.