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Bundesliga
Referee: J Weinberger
Mattersburg
U T T S U
1–2
Full-time
Admira
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mattersburg Admira
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 21%
24%
17%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
59%
48%
Both score Ø 55%
62%
48%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
2,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 19
6 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mattersburg 9. · Admira 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 29 19 8 2 +67 65
2 LASK 29 20 4 5 +36 64
3 SK Rapid 29 15 7 7 +20 52
4 Wolfsberger AC 29 13 8 8 +23 47
5 Austria Vienna 29 10 11 8 +3 41
6 Hartberg 29 11 5 13 -22 38
7 Altach 29 9 8 12 -6 35
8 Sturm Graz 29 10 5 14 -7 35
9 Mattersburg 29 7 6 16 -26 27
10 Tirol 29 6 7 16 -28 25
11 St. Polten 29 5 10 14 -34 25
12 Admira 29 5 9 15 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mattersburg Admira
1–0 A. Velasco
T. Mahrer
25′
Half-time 1–0
L. Rath 🟨
46′
49′
K. Pusch 1–1
53′
🟨 R. Kerschbaum
P. Erhardt 🟨
55′
A. Gruber 🟨
58′
F. Miesenbock 🟨
62′
63′
🟨 E. Hoffer
66′
🔁 S. Bauer
↦ M. Pavelic
67′
🟨 M. Hjulmand
F. Miesenbock 🔁
↦ M. Lercher
68′
A. Holler 🔁
↦ M. Steinwender
68′
68′
🔁 M. Pavelic
↦ S. Bakis
M. Pusic 🔁
↦ P. Burger
68′
73′
S. Bakis 1–2
S. Paintsil
75′
🟨 E. Aiwu
F. Hart 🔁
↦ J. Ertlthaler
79′
83′
🔁 S. Paintsil
↦ P. Petlach
83′
🔁 K. Pusch
↦ M. Kadlec
84′
🟨 M. Lackner
88′
🟨 M. Maier
P. Burger 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Mattersburg

3-4-3
1 Markus Kuster G
31 Thorsten Mahrer D
10 Jano D
18 Lukas Rath D
8 Alois Höller M
12 Florian Hart M
6 Philipp Erhardt M
7 Fabian Miesenböck M
11 Andreas Gruber F
19 Martin Pušić F
30 Andreas Kuen F
Bench (7)
13 Tino Casali
5 Michael Lercher
2 David Nemeth
3 Michael Steinwender
23 Julius Ertlthaler
14 Christoph Halper
33 Patrick Bürger

Coach: F. Ponweiser

Admira

4-1-4-1
1 Andreas Leitner G
4 Sebastian Bauer D
6 Christoph Schosswendter D
27 Emanuel Aiwu D
22 Marcus Maier D
18 Markus Lackner M
31 Kolja Pusch M
14 Morten Hjulmand M
8 Roman Kerschbaum M
16 Erwin Hoffer M
21 Paintsil Seth F
Bench (7)
30 Christoph Haas
25 Mario Pavelić
23 Pascal Petlach
29 Muhammed Cham Saracevic
20 Marco Kadlec
11 Sinan Bakış
13 Markus Pink

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.