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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Servette
S S T S U
1–1
Full-time
Lugano
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Super League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 35%
43%
26%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
57%
48%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
19 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Servette 4. · Lugano 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gallen 24 15 3 6 +21 48
2 Young Boys 24 14 6 4 +16 48
3 Basel 23 12 4 7 +24 40
4 Servette 23 10 7 6 +15 37
5 Zurich 24 9 5 10 -18 32
6 Luzern 23 9 4 10 -5 31
7 Lugano 23 6 8 9 -3 26
8 Sion 24 6 5 13 -14 23
9 Xamax 24 4 10 10 -12 22
10 Thun 24 5 4 15 -24 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Servette Lugano
21′
A. Gerndt 0–1
R. Janga
Half-time 0–1
56′
🟨 J. Sabbatini
G. Kyei 🔁
↦ K. Kone
59′
61′
🔁 C. Lungoyi
↦ M. Bottani
0–2 E. Yao
own goal
62′
68′
🟨 J. Sabbatini
68′
🟥 J. Sabbatini
R. Azevedo 🔁
↦ B. Cespedes
71′
A. Maccoppi 🔁
↦ T. Cognat
71′
80′
🔁 F. Rodriguez
↦ A. Gerndt
80′
🔁 S. Lovric
↦ O. Custodio
M. Goncalves 🔁
↦ A. Sauthier
81′
C. Routis 🔁
↦ G. Ondoua
81′
C. Routis 🟨
88′
89′
🔁 S. Guidotti
↦ M. Čovilo
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Servette

4-2-3-1
32 J. Frick G
2 A. Sauthier D
23 V. Sasso D
21 D. Iapichino D
4 S. Rouiller D
9 M. Stevanović M
5 B. Cespedes M
29 G. Ondoua M
8 T. Cognat M
20 V. Taşar M
18 K. Kone F
Bench (7)
25 G. Kyei
22 R. Azevedo
14 A. Maccoppi
15 M. Goncalves
3 C. Routis
39 A. Martial
1 J. Kiassumbua

Coach: A. Geiger

Lugano

4-1-4-1
46 N. Baumann G
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy D
18 E. Yao D
6 M. Čovilo M
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
19 A. Gerndt M
10 M. Bottani M
9 R. Janga F
Bench (7)
8 C. Lungoyi
68 F. Rodriguez
24 S. Lovric
22 S. Guidotti
1 D. da Costa
27 F. Sasere
4 A. Kecskés

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.