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Super League
Referee: L Tschudi
Thun
S U T S T
3–2
Full-time
Zurich
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Super League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 33%
23%
42%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
58%
65%
Both score Ø 48%
54%
42%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 19
6 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Thun 10. · Zurich 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 27 15 7 5 +21 52
2 St. Gallen 26 16 3 7 +18 51
3 Basel 27 14 4 9 +25 46
4 Servette 27 10 11 6 +15 41
5 Zurich 26 11 5 10 -13 38
6 Luzern 26 10 5 11 -6 35
7 Lugano 27 8 9 10 -1 33
8 Sion 26 6 6 14 -16 24
9 Xamax 26 4 10 12 -19 22
10 Thun 26 6 4 16 -24 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Thun Zurich
1–0 S. Rapp
N. Hefti
11′
2–0 M. Tosetti
N. Hefti
14′
3–0 G. Karlen
B. Stillhart
21′
31′
M. Kryeziu 3–1
B. Kololli
Half-time 3–1
B. Stillhart 🟨
46′
N. Sutter 🔁
↦ M. Tosetti
46′
46′
🔁 T. Domgjoni
↦ W. Britto
46′
🔁 S. Sohm
↦ V. Janjičić
B. Stillhart 🟨
49′
B. Stillhart 🟥
49′
50′
B. Kololli 3–2
K. Fatkic 🔁
↦ H. Bandé
61′
72′
🔁 H. Koide
↦ M. Schönbächler
73′
🟨 T. Domgjoni
N. Havenaar 🟨
75′
81′
🔁 P. Jagne
↦ M. Kempter
N. Hasler 🟨
85′
G. Karlen 🟨
90′
S. Rapp 🟨
93′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Thun

4-3-1-2
1 G. Faivre G
28 N. Hasler M
5 N. Havenaar D
39 S. Joss D
11 M. Tosetti M
8 G. Karlen M
16 L. Bertone M
10 B. Stillhart D
29 N. Hefti D
13 S. Rapp F
27 H. Bandé F
Bench (7)
34 N. Sutter
6 K. Fatkic
24 M. Breitenmoser
33 Saleh Chihadeh
21 U. Vasic
9 R. Munsy
30 A. Hirzel

Coach: M. Schneider

Zurich

4-2-3-1
25 Y. Brecher G
31 M. Kryeziu D
24 M. Kempter D
3 Nathan D
77 W. Britto D
27 M. Schönbächler M
7 A. Winter M
71 H. Kryeziu M
70 B. Kololli F
22 K. Rüegg M
8 V. Janjičić M
Bench (7)
14 T. Domgjoni
35 S. Sohm
43 H. Koide
13 P. Jagne
1 A. Vaņins
33 S. Seiler
17 U. Bangura

Coach: L. Magnin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Tschudi · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.