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Super League
Referee: F San
Basel
S U T S T
2–2
Full-time
St. Gallen
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,3
4,3
Scored
2,3
3,0
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,7
This season — Super League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 39%
43%
35%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
57%
65%
Both score Ø 70%
70%
70%
Average goals
3,4
3,6
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

66% Possession 34%
15 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
8 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 3. · St. Gallen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 24 17 5 2 +27 56
2 Young Boys 24 12 7 5 +25 43
3 Basel 23 10 10 3 +21 40
4 Lugano 23 11 3 9 -2 36
5 Servette 24 9 5 10 -6 32
6 St. Gallen 23 8 5 10 -5 29
7 Sion 24 8 5 11 -11 29
8 Grasshoppers 23 6 9 8 +2 27
9 Luzern 24 3 9 12 -20 18
10 Lausanne 24 2 6 16 -31 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Basel St. Gallen
20′
J. Guillemenot 0–1
22′
K. Duah 0–2
J. Guillemenot
W. Burger 🔁
↦ S. Pavlović
26′
32′
🟨 Euclides Cabral
Taulant Xhaka 🟨
36′
36′
🟨 Jérémy Guillemenot
Fabian Frei 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–2
P. Kasami 🔁
↦ T. Xhaka
46′
47′
🟨 Victor Ruiz
1–2 F. Chalov
D. Ndoye
56′
Á. Szalai 🔁
↦ S.Esposito
57′
60′
🔁 A. Besio
↦ J. von Moos
60′
🔁 A. Jankewitz
↦ B. Toma
72′
🔁 C. Lungoyi
↦ J. Guillemenot
72′
🔁 B. Stillhart
↦ Víctor Ruiz
Joelson Fernandes 🔁
↦ D. Ndoye
80′
M. Lang 🔁
↦ Sergio López
80′
82′
🔁 P. Sutter
↦ I. Schmidt
2–2 F. Chalov
M. Lang
83′
94′
🟨 Alexandre Jankewitz
94′
🟨 Alessio Besio
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 H. Lindner G
22 Sergio López D
3 N. Katterbach D
15 S. Pavlović D
20 F. Frei D
34 T. Xhaka M
35 M. Palacios M
99 F. Chalov F
17 L. Millar M
27 D. Ndoye M
9 S.Esposito M
Bench (9)
23 W. Burger
7 P. Kasami
11 Á. Szalai
96 Joelson Fernandes
5 M. Lang
46 F. Gebhardt
6 N. Djiga
40 L. Chipperfield
30 Tomás Tavares

Coach: Guillermo Abascal

St. Gallen

4-3-3
1 L. Ati Zigi G
4 L. Stergiou D
15 Euclides Cabral D
14 M. Maglica D
72 B. Toma M
11 K. Duah F
23 B. Fazliji M
33 I. Schmidt D
10 Víctor Ruiz M
9 J. Guillemenot F
19 J. von Moos F
Bench (9)
31 A. Besio
45 A. Jankewitz
28 C. Lungoyi
6 B. Stillhart
30 P. Sutter
3 M. Nuhu
32 D. Jacovic
7 F. Schubert
25 L. Watkowiak

Coach: P. Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F San · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.